Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia — Serie D - Girone D
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Cittadella Vis Modena and Pavia meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Cittadella Vis Modena have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Pavia have won 0% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Cittadella Vis Modena and 1.00 for Pavia. The models give Cittadella Vis Modena a 41% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Pavia win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Cittadella Vis ModenaPaviaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cittadella Vis | Home | Away | Pavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 25% | 80% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 0% | 40% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 75% | 20% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Cittadella Vis | Home | Away | Pavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 40% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cittadella Vis | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 22% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cittadella Vis | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 38% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Cittadella Vis (H)
USD Casatese0–1
Correggese0–1
Città di Varese0–0
Coriano1–0
Pro Palazzolo1–0
Rovato Vertovese0–0Pavia (A)Correggese1–2
Sant'Angelo0–0
Pisa1–6
Breno1–0
Chievo1–2USD Casatese0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 21 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 | Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Coriano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 |  Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 |  Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Cittadella Vis- ●Cittadella Vis Modena have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Cittadella Vis Modena have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●60% of Cittadella Vis Modena's points have been earned away.
Pavia- ●Pavia have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Pavia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
Cittadella VisUSD Casatese0–1Pontedera3–0Correggese0–1Lentigione1–0Città di Varese0–0Coriano1–0Oltrepò18/10Pistoiese25/10Crema01/11PaviaVaresina2–2Correggese1–2Arconatese1–1Sant'Angelo0–0Solbiatese0–0Crema0–0Pistoiese18/10USD Casatese25/10Pro Patria01/11Top Scorers
Cittadella VisPaviaCards Given
Cittadella VisPavia