Pro Patria vs Pistoiese — Serie D - Girone D
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Pro Patria and Pistoiese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Pro Patria have recorded 8 wins from 10 matches this season (80% win rate), averaging 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Pistoiese have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 11%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 78%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.01 for Pro Patria and 1.30 for Pistoiese. The models give Pro Patria a 27% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Pistoiese win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Pro PatriaPistoieseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pro Patria | Home | Away | Pistoiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 83% | 75% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 75% | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 17% | 75% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 17% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Pro Patria | Home | Away | Pistoiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pro Patria | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS | 50% | 11% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 11% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pro Patria | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 11% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 11% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Pro Patria (H)
Sant'Angelo1–0
Solbiatese0–1
Crema2–0
Oltrepò2–1
Gozzano3–1
Imperia2–1Pistoiese (A)
Sestri Levante0–1
USD Casatese3–0
Varesina1–0Crema3–1
Seravezza0–0
Desenzano Calvina1–1Head to Head · 5 matches
Pro PatriaPistoiesePistoiesePro PatriaPistoiese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 21 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coriano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 |  Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Pro Patria- ●Pro Patria have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Pro Patria have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pro Patria have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pro Patria have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Pistoiese- ●Pistoiese have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pro PatriaSant'Angelo1–0Varesina0–0Solbiatese0–1Arconatese3–0Crema2–0Pontedera3–2USD Casatese18/10Correggese25/10Pavia01/11PistoieseCorreggese1–0USD Casatese3–0Sant'Angelo3–0Varesina1–0Arconatese5–0Crema3–1Pavia18/10Cittadella Vis Modena25/10Castellanzese01/11Top Scorers
Pro PatriaPistoiese