Pro Patria vs Castellanzese — Serie D - Girone D
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Pro Patria and Castellanzese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Pro Patria have recorded 8 wins from 10 matches this season (80% win rate), averaging 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Castellanzese have won 71% of their 7 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Pro Patria and 1.24 for Castellanzese. The models give Pro Patria a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Castellanzese win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Pro PatriaCastellanzeseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pro Patria | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 83% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 75% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 17% | 75% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 17% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Pro Patria | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 50% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pro Patria | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pro Patria | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Pro Patria (H)
Sant'Angelo1–0
Solbiatese0–1
Crema2–0
Oltrepò2–1
Gozzano3–1
Imperia2–1Castellanzese (A)Sant'Angelo2–1Solbiatese4–1
Lentigione0–1
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1
Chievo2–2
USD Casatese0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 21 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coriano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 |  Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
Pro Patria- ●Pro Patria have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Pro Patria have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pro Patria have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pro Patria have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Castellanzese- ●Castellanzese have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Castellanzese have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Castellanzese have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Castellanzese have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pro PatriaSant'Angelo1–0Varesina0–0Solbiatese0–1Arconatese3–0Crema2–0Pontedera3–2USD Casatese18/10Correggese25/10Pavia01/11CastellanzeseArconatese1–0Sant'Angelo2–1Crema4–0Solbiatese4–1Oltrepò0–1Lentigione0–1Correggese18/10Varesina25/10Pistoiese01/11Top Scorers
Pro PatriaCastellanzese