USD Casatese vs Città di Varese — Serie D - Girone D
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USD Casatese and Città di Varese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 15 November 2026. USD Casatese have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Città di Varese have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for USD Casatese and 1.47 for Città di Varese. The models give USD Casatese a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Città di Varese win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
USD CasateseCittà di VareseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| USD Casatese | Home | Away | Città di | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 67% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| USD Casatese | Home | Away | Città di | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 33% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 0% | 67% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| USD Casatese | Città di | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 30% |
| BTTS | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| USD Casatese | Città di | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
USD Casatese (H)
Pistoiese0–3
Varesina4–2
Sant'Angelo1–2
Arconatese2–1
Chievo2–3
Leon4–0Città di (A)
Crema2–3
Pontedera3–0
Cittadella Vis Modena0–0
Coriano1–1
Renate0–2
Ligorna3–5Head to Head · 2 matches
USD CasateseCittà di Varese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 21 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Coriano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
USD Casatese- ●USD Casatese have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of USD Casatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of USD Casatese's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●USD Casatese have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Città di- ●67% of Città di Varese's goals have been scored away.
- ●Città di Varese have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
USD CasateseCittadella Vis Modena1–0Pistoiese0–3Varesina4–2Correggese3–1Sant'Angelo1–2Solbiatese0–0Pro Patria18/10Pavia25/10Pro Sesto01/11Città diOltrepò2–0Crema2–3Lentigione1–1Pontedera3–0Cittadella Vis Modena0–0Pro Sesto0–2Arconatese18/10Solbiatese25/10Varesina01/11Top Scorers
USD CasateseCittà di