Varesina vs Pontedera — Serie D - Girone D
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Varesina and Pontedera meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Varesina have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Pontedera have won 0% of their 6 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 2.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Varesina and 0.99 for Pontedera. The models give Varesina a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pontedera win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Varesina
PontederaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varesina | Home | Away | Pontedera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 33% | 100% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 33% | 50% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 67% | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Varesina | Home | Away | Pontedera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varesina | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 17% |
| BTTS | 71% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 50% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varesina | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 71% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 83% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Varesina (H)
Pro Patria0–0
Pistoiese0–1
Cittadella Vis Modena3–2
Breno2–2
Chievo0–1
Leon1–2Pontedera (A)
Lentigione0–2
Pro Sesto0–3
Castellanzese1–3
Sambenedettese1–2
Athletic Carpi0–2
Pianese2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 21 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coriano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 |  Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 |  Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Varesina- ●Varesina have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Varesina have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Varesina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Varesina's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Varesina's goals conceded were conceded away.
Pontedera- ●Pontedera have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Pontedera have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pontedera have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pontedera have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pontedera have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pontedera have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
VaresinaPavia2–2Pro Patria0–0USD Casatese2–4Pistoiese0–1Correggese1–2Sant'Angelo1–1Pro Sesto18/10Castellanzese25/10Città di Varese01/11PontederaLentigione0–2Cittadella Vis Modena0–3Città di Varese0–3Pro Sesto0–3Pro Patria2–3Castellanzese1–3Coriano14/10Crema18/10Oltrepò25/10Top Scorers
VaresinaPontederaCards Given
VaresinaPontedera