Lentigione vs Varesina — Serie D - Girone D
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Lentigione and Varesina meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Lentigione have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Varesina have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Lentigione and 1.12 for Varesina. The models give Lentigione a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Varesina win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
LentigioneVaresinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lentigione | Home | Away | Varesina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 75% | 100% | 63% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 25% | 80% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 75% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Lentigione | Home | Away | Varesina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 40% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lentigione | Varesina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 25% |
| BTTS | 67% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lentigione | Varesina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 75% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Lentigione (H)
Pontedera2–0
Piacenza1–3
Cittadella Vis Modena0–1
Castellanzese1–0Piacenza0–2
Pro Palazzolo3–2Varesina (A)
Pavia2–2
USD Casatese2–4
Correggese1–2
Sant'Angelo1–1Castellanzese2–1
Caldiero Terme2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Solbiatese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
Lentigione- ●Lentigione have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lentigione have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lentigione have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lentigione failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lentigione have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lentigione failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lentigione have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lentigione have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of Lentigione's goals have been scored away.
- ●87% of Lentigione's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●65% of Lentigione's points have been earned away.
Varesina- ●Varesina have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Varesina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Varesina have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Varesina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Varesina's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Varesina's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
LentigioneSolbiatese2–2Pontedera2–0Oltrepò2–1Città di Varese1–1Cittadella Vis Modena0–1Coriano2–1Crema25/10Sant'Angelo01/11Arconatese08/11VaresinaPro Sesto0–0Pavia2–2Pro Patria0–0USD Casatese2–4Pistoiese0–1Correggese1–2Castellanzese25/10Città di Varese01/11Coriano08/11Top Scorers
LentigioneVaresina