Oltrepò vs Arconatese — Serie D - Girone D
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Oltrepò and Arconatese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Oltrepò have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Arconatese have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Oltrepò and 1.08 for Arconatese. The models give Oltrepò a 42% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Arconatese win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Oltrepò | Home | Away | Arconatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 33% | 80% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 67% | 20% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Oltrepò | Home | Away | Arconatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 60% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oltrepò | Arconatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oltrepò | Arconatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 | |
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Oltrepò have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Oltrepò failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Oltrepò's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Oltrepò have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Arconatese have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Arconatese's points have been earned away.
- ●Arconatese have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.