Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese — Serie D - Girone D
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Stadio Ernesto Breda·Sesto San Giovanni·Italy·4,475
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Pro Sesto and Pistoiese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Pro Sesto have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Pistoiese have won 80% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 10%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 80%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Pro Sesto and 1.43 for Pistoiese. The models give Pro Sesto a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Pistoiese win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Pro Sesto—
Pistoiese5º
Position
1º
1.88
PPG
3.00
50%
Win %
100%
2.25
Goals / game
2.38
0.75
Conceded / game
0.13
50%
BTTS %
10%
50%
Clean sheet %
80%
50%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pro Sesto
Home (4)
—
Pistoiese
Away (3)
1.75
PPG
3.00
50%
Win %
100%
3.00
Goals / game
2.33
1.25
Conceded / game
0.33
75%
BTTS %
20%
25%
Clean sheet %
60%
75%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pro Sesto | Home | Away | Pistoiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Pro Sesto | Home | Away | Pistoiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 25% | 75% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pro Sesto | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 10% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pro Sesto | Pistoiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 10% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 10% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Pro Sesto (H)D
Solbiatese1–1
Solbiatese1–1W
Oltrepò6–1
Oltrepò6–1W
Pontedera3–0
Pontedera3–0L
Lentigione2–3
Lentigione2–3W
Tuttocuoio2–0
Tuttocuoio2–0DPistoiese0–0
Pistoiese0–0Pistoiese (A)L
Sestri Levante0–1
Sestri Levante0–1W
USD Casatese3–0
USD Casatese3–0W
Varesina1–0
Varesina1–0W
Crema3–1
Crema3–1D
Seravezza0–0
Seravezza0–0D
Desenzano Calvina1–1
Desenzano Calvina1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Pro Sesto
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Pistoiese
0%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
12/04/26Pistoiese
Pro Sesto
0–0Pistoiese30/11/25Pro Sesto
Pistoiese
0–2Pro Sesto21/02/21Pistoiese
Pro Sesto
2–2Pistoiese25/10/20Pro Sesto
Pistoiese
1–2Pro Sesto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
Pro Sesto- ●Pro Sesto have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Pro Sesto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Pro Sesto have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Pistoiese- ●Pistoiese have won their last 8 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●63% of Pistoiese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Pistoiese have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pro SestoDAVaresina0–0
Varesina0–0DHSolbiatese1–1
Solbiatese1–1DAArconatese1–1
Arconatese1–1WHOltrepò6–1
Oltrepò6–1WACrema3–0
Crema3–0WHPontedera3–0
Pontedera3–0–HSant'Angelo25/10
Sant'Angelo25/10–AUSD Casatese01/11
USD Casatese01/11–HCorreggese08/11
Correggese08/11PistoieseWHPavia1–0
Pavia1–0WHCorreggese1–0
Correggese1–0WAUSD Casatese3–0
USD Casatese3–0WHSant'Angelo3–0
Sant'Angelo3–0WAVaresina1–0
Varesina1–0WHArconatese5–0
Arconatese5–0–ACittadella Vis Modena25/10
Cittadella Vis Modena25/10–HCastellanzese01/11
Castellanzese01/11–APro Patria08/11
Pro Patria08/11Top Scorers
Pro SestoR. Costantino7 ⚽
M. Morello4 ⚽
L. Maffioletti2 ⚽
D. Viscardi2 ⚽
G. Mazzola1 ⚽
F. Zazzi1 ⚽
PistoieseM. Motti7 ⚽
G. Contini2 ⚽
G. Luperini2 ⚽
M. Rossi2 ⚽
T. Lagomarsino1 ⚽
F. Campagna1 ⚽