Italy · Serie D - Girone D · Group D - 15

Oltrepò

18º · 0.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

–

Varesina

14º · 1.10 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

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Oltrepò and Varesina meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Oltrepò have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Varesina have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Oltrepò and 1.31 for Varesina. The models give Oltrepò a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Varesina win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Oltrepò

—

Varesina

18º

Position

14º

0.50

PPG

1.10

10%

Win %

20%

0.50

Goals / game

1.30

2.10

Conceded / game

1.40

44%

BTTS %

70%

22%

Clean sheet %

20%

44%

Over 2.5 %

50%

Home vs Away

Oltrepò

Home (4)

—

Varesina

Away (5)

0.25

PPG

0.60

Win %

0.25

Goals / game

1.40

1.50

Conceded / game

2.00

33%

BTTS %

100%

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

Over 2.5 %

60%

Goals Scored

	Oltrepò	Home	Away	Varesina	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	56%	33%	67%	70%	40%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	40%	40%	40%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	20%	40%	0%
Failed To Score	44%	67%	33%	30%	60%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Oltrepò	Home	Away	Varesina	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	78%	67%	83%	80%	60%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	56%	33%	67%	40%	20%	60%
Over 2.5 Conceded	22%	0%	33%	10%	0%	20%
Clean Sheets	22%	33%	17%	20%	40%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Oltrepò	Varesina
Over 0.5	89%	80%
Over 1.5	67%	70%
Over 2.5	44%	50%
Over 3.5	22%	40%
Over 4.5	11%	20%
BTTS	44%	70%
BTTS & Win	0%	20%
BTTS & Draw	11%	30%
BTTS & Over 2.5	33%	50%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Oltrepò	Varesina
Win 1st Half	11%	10%
Draw 1st Half	22%	70%
Loss 1st Half	67%	20%
Scored 1st Half	22%	60%
Conceded 1st Half	78%	60%
Win 2nd Half	11%	10%
Draw 2nd Half	56%	70%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	20%
Scored 2nd Half	33%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	56%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	89%	70%
Over 1.5 HT	22%	50%

Recent Venue Form

Oltrepò (H)

Cittadella Vis Modena0–0

Lentigione1–2

Coriano0–1

Brusaporto2–1

Sondrio0–3

Real Calepina1–0

Varesina (A)

Castellanzese1–1

Pavia2–2

USD Casatese2–4

Correggese1–2

Sant'Angelo1–1

Castellanzese2–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

Oltrepò

50%

Draws

Varesina

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

50%

Over 2.5

1/2

50%

Over 3.5

1/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

11/01/26

Oltrepò

0–1

Varesina

14/09/25

Varesina

2–3

Oltrepò

Serie D - Girone D

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	10	9	0	1	+19	27
2	Lentigione	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Pro Patria	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Castellanzese	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	USD Casatese	10	5	1	4	0	16
6	Pro Sesto	10	4	3	3	+10	15
7	Pavia	10	3	5	2	+4	14
8	Cittadella Vis Modena	10	4	2	4	+2	14
9	Solbiatese	10	3	5	2	+1	14
10	Sant'Angelo	10	4	2	4	0	14
11	Città di Varese	10	3	4	3	+4	13
12	Correggese	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Crema	10	3	3	4	-6	12
14	Varesina	10	2	5	3	-1	11
15	Pontedera	10	2	1	7	-15	7
16	Coriano	10	1	3	6	-6	6
17	Arconatese	10	1	3	6	-14	6
18	Oltrepò	10	1	2	7	-16	5