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Città di Varese vs Pistoiese — Serie D - Girone D

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Italy · Serie D - Girone D · Group D - 15
Città di Varese
Città di Varese
11º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Pistoiese
Pistoiese
1º · 2.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Città di Varese and Pistoiese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Città di Varese have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Pistoiese have won 75% of their 12 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 67%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Città di Varese and 1.32 for Pistoiese. The models give Città di Varese a 26% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Pistoiese win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

Città di Varese
—
Pistoiese
11º
Position
1º
1.30
PPG
2.70
30%
Win %
90%
1.50
Goals / game
2.40
1.10
Conceded / game
0.50
54%
BTTS %
25%
31%
Clean sheet %
67%
46%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Città di Varese
Home (4)
—
Pistoiese
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
75%
0.75
Goals / game
2.00
0.75
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Città diHomeAwayPistoieseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored69%67%71%83%100%67%
Over 1.5 Scored46%50%43%50%67%33%
Over 2.5 Scored23%17%29%42%50%33%
Failed To Score31%33%29%17%0%33%

Goals Conceded

Città diHomeAwayPistoieseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded69%67%71%33%17%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded46%50%43%17%17%17%
Over 2.5 Conceded23%17%29%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets31%33%29%67%83%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Città diPistoiese
Over 0.585%92%
Over 1.585%58%
Over 2.546%50%
Over 3.538%25%
Over 4.531%17%
BTTS54%25%
BTTS & Win15%17%
BTTS & Draw15%0%
BTTS & Over 2.538%25%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Città diPistoiese
Win 1st Half38%58%
Draw 1st Half38%25%
Loss 1st Half23%17%
Scored 1st Half54%58%
Conceded 1st Half31%25%
Win 2nd Half31%50%
Draw 2nd Half23%33%
Loss 2nd Half46%17%
Scored 2nd Half46%50%
Conceded 2nd Half62%17%
Over 0.5 HT69%75%
Over 1.5 HT38%50%

Recent Venue Form

Città di (H)
DSolbiatese0–0
WOltrepò2–0
LPro Patria2–5
DLentigione1–1
LPro Sesto0–2
WPro Palazzolo3–2
Pistoiese (A)
LCittadella Vis Modena1–2
LSestri Levante0–1
WUSD Casatese3–0
WVaresina1–0
WCrema3–1
DSeravezza0–0
Serie D - Girone D
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese10901+1927
2Lentigione10631+721
3Pro Patria10622+720
4Castellanzese10613+919
5USD Casatese10514016
6Pro Sesto10433+1015
7Pavia10352+414
8Cittadella Vis Modena10424+214
9Solbiatese10352+114
10Sant'Angelo10424014
11Città di Varese10343+413
12Correggese10334-512
13Crema10334-612
14Varesina10253-111
15Pontedera10217-157
16Coriano10136-66
17Arconatese10136-146
18Oltrepò10127-165

Team Insights

Città di
  • ●Città di Varese have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Città di Varese have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Città di Varese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Città di Varese have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●80% of Città di Varese's goals have been scored away.
  • ●73% of Città di Varese's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●62% of Città di Varese's points have been earned away.
  • ●Città di Varese have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Pistoiese
  • ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Pistoiese have won their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Pistoiese have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●67% of Pistoiese's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Pistoiese have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Città di VareseCittà di Varese
LAVaresina14º1–3
DHSolbiatese9º0–0
WAArconatese17º5–1
WHOltrepò18º2–0
LHPro Patria2–5
LACrema13º2–3
DHLentigione2º1–1
WAPontedera15º3–0
DACittadella Vis Modena8º0–0
LHPro Sesto6º0–2
PistoiesePistoiese
WHCastellanzese4º4–2
LACittadella Vis Modena8º1–2
WHPavia7º1–0
WHCorreggese12º1–0
LASestri Levante0–1
WAUSD Casatese5º3–0
WHSant'Angelo10º3–0
WAVaresina14º1–0
WHArconatese17º5–0
WACrema13º3–1

Season Schedule

Città di
LAVaresina1–3
DHSolbiatese0–0
WAArconatese5–1
WHOltrepò2–0
LACrema2–3
DHLentigione1–1
–HSant'Angelo08/11
–AUSD Casatese15/11
–HCorreggese22/11
Pistoiese
WHCastellanzese4–2
LACittadella Vis Modena1–2
WHPavia1–0
WHCorreggese1–0
WAUSD Casatese3–0
WHSant'Angelo3–0
–APro Patria08/11
–HCoriano15/11
–APro Sesto22/11

Top Scorers

Città di
R. Beretta5 ⚽
M. Barzotti4 ⚽
P. Cogliati3 ⚽
A. Sovogui2 ⚽
D. Favale2 ⚽
L. Berbenni1 ⚽
Pistoiese
M. Motti10 ⚽
G. Contini2 ⚽
G. Luperini2 ⚽
F. Campagna2 ⚽
M. Rossi2 ⚽
S. Corazza2 ⚽