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Castellanzese vs Città di Varese — Serie D - Girone D

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Italy · Serie D - Girone D · Group D - 16
Castellanzese
Castellanzese
4º · 1.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Città di Varese
Città di Varese
11º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Castellanzese and Città di Varese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Castellanzese have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Città di Varese have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Castellanzese and 1.28 for Città di Varese. The models give Castellanzese a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Città di Varese win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Castellanzese
—
Città di Varese
4º
Position
11º
1.90
PPG
1.30
60%
Win %
30%
1.90
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.10
45%
BTTS %
54%
27%
Clean sheet %
31%
45%
Over 2.5 %
46%

Home vs Away

Castellanzese
Home (5)
—
Città di Varese
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.33
60%
Win %
33%
1.80
Goals / game
2.00
0.60
Conceded / game
1.33
33%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
33%
Over 2.5 %
57%

Goals Scored

CastellanzeseHomeAwayCittà diHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%67%80%71%71%71%
Over 1.5 Scored55%33%80%50%57%43%
Over 2.5 Scored27%33%20%21%14%29%
Failed To Score27%33%20%29%29%29%

Goals Conceded

CastellanzeseHomeAwayCittà diHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%67%80%71%71%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded9%0%20%50%57%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%0%20%21%14%29%
Clean Sheets27%33%20%29%29%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CastellanzeseCittà di
Over 0.5100%86%
Over 1.564%86%
Over 2.545%50%
Over 3.536%43%
Over 4.518%29%
BTTS45%57%
BTTS & Win27%14%
BTTS & Draw9%21%
BTTS & Over 2.536%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CastellanzeseCittà di
Win 1st Half27%36%
Draw 1st Half45%43%
Loss 1st Half27%21%
Scored 1st Half55%57%
Conceded 1st Half45%36%
Win 2nd Half55%29%
Draw 2nd Half36%29%
Loss 2nd Half9%43%
Scored 2nd Half64%50%
Conceded 2nd Half27%64%
Over 0.5 HT73%71%
Over 1.5 HT55%43%

Recent Venue Form

Castellanzese (H)
LUSD Casatese0–1
DVaresina1–1
WArconatese1–0
WCrema4–0
LOltrepò0–1
WPontedera3–1
Città di (A)
LVaresina1–3
WArconatese5–1
LCrema2–3
WPontedera3–0
DCittadella Vis Modena0–0
DCoriano1–1
Serie D - Girone D
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese10901+1927
2Lentigione10631+721
3Pro Patria10622+720
4Castellanzese10613+919
5USD Casatese10514016
6Pro Sesto10433+1015
7Pavia10352+414
8Cittadella Vis Modena10424+214
9Solbiatese10352+114
10Sant'Angelo10424014
11Città di Varese10343+413
12Correggese10334-512
13Crema10334-612
14Varesina10253-111
15Pontedera10217-157
16Coriano10136-66
17Arconatese10136-146
18Oltrepò10127-165

Team Insights

Castellanzese
  • ●Castellanzese have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Castellanzese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Castellanzese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Castellanzese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Castellanzese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Castellanzese have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Castellanzese have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
Città di
  • ●Città di Varese have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Città di Varese have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Città di Varese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Città di Varese have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Città di Varese's goals have been scored away.
  • ●Città di Varese have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
CastellanzeseCastellanzese
LHUSD Casatese5º0–1
LAPistoiese1º2–4
DHVaresina14º1–1
WACorreggese12º2–0
WHArconatese17º1–0
WASant'Angelo10º2–1
WHCrema13º4–0
WASolbiatese9º4–1
LHOltrepò18º0–1
LALentigione2º0–1
Città di VareseCittà di Varese
DHSant'Angelo10º2–2
LAVaresina14º1–3
DHSolbiatese9º0–0
WAArconatese17º5–1
WHOltrepò18º2–0
LHPro Patria2–5
LACrema13º2–3
DHLentigione2º1–1
WAPontedera15º3–0
DACittadella Vis Modena8º0–0

Season Schedule

Castellanzese
LHUSD Casatese0–1
LAPistoiese2–4
DHVaresina1–1
WACorreggese2–0
WHArconatese1–0
WASant'Angelo2–1
–APro Patria15/11
–HPavia22/11
–HPro Sesto29/11
Città di
DHSant'Angelo2–2
LAVaresina1–3
DHSolbiatese0–0
WAArconatese5–1
WHOltrepò2–0
LACrema2–3
–AUSD Casatese15/11
–HCorreggese22/11
–APavia29/11

Top Scorers

Castellanzese
M. Chessa7 ⚽
M. Valmori5 ⚽
A. Sassaro2 ⚽
L. Rusconi1 ⚽
E. Castelletto1 ⚽
R. Colombo1 ⚽
Città di
R. Beretta5 ⚽
M. Barzotti4 ⚽
P. Cogliati3 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Favale2 ⚽
A. Sovogui2 ⚽

Cards Given

Castellanzese
S. Boccadamo1 🟨
Città di