Pavia vs Pontedera — Serie D - Girone D
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Pavia and Pontedera meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Pavia have recorded 2 wins from 13 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Pontedera have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Pavia and 1.09 for Pontedera. The models give Pavia a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Pontedera win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Pavia
PontederaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pavia | Home | Away | Pontedera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 63% | 60% | 55% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 15% | 25% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 13% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 38% | 40% | 45% | 60% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Pavia | Home | Away | Pontedera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 63% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 38% | 60% | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 25% | 20% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 38% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pavia | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 27% |
| BTTS | 54% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pavia | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 73% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Pavia (H)
Pro Patria1–0
USD Casatese3–1
Varesina2–2
Sant'Angelo1–3
Arconatese1–1
Solbiatese0–0Pontedera (A)Arconatese4–3
Crema1–4
Coriano2–1
Lentigione0–2
Pro Sesto0–3
Castellanzese1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Castellanzese | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 | USD Casatese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Pavia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Solbiatese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Città di Varese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Correggese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Crema | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Coriano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
Team Insights
Pavia- ●Pavia have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pavia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pavia have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pavia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●78% of Pavia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Pavia's points have been earned at home.
- ●Pavia have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Pontedera- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Pontedera have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pontedera have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontedera have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Pontedera's goals have been scored away.
- ●86% of Pontedera's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
PaviaCittadella Vis Modena1–2Pro Patria1–0USD Casatese3–1Pistoiese0–1Varesina2–2Correggese1–2Pro Sesto15/11Castellanzese22/11Città di Varese29/11PontederaSolbiatese0–1Arconatese4–3Oltrepò1–1Crema1–4Coriano2–1Lentigione0–2Varesina15/11Sant'Angelo22/11USD Casatese29/11Top Scorers
PaviaPontederaCards Given
PaviaPontedera