MatchPulse

USD Casatese vs Crema — Serie D - Girone D

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USD Casatese
USD Casatese
5º · 1.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Crema
Crema
13º · 1.20 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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USD Casatese and Crema meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 13 December 2026. USD Casatese have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Crema have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for USD Casatese and 1.06 for Crema. The models give USD Casatese a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Crema win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

USD Casatese
—
Crema
5º
Position
13º
1.60
PPG
1.20
50%
Win %
30%
1.40
Goals / game
1.10
1.40
Conceded / game
1.70
60%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
20%
70%
Over 2.5 %
60%

Home vs Away

USD Casatese
Home (6)
—
Crema
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
0.60
50%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.20
1.67
Conceded / game
1.40
67%
BTTS %
20%
17%
Clean sheet %
40%
83%
Over 2.5 %
20%

Goals Scored

USD CasateseHomeAwayCremaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%83%80%55%80%33%
Over 1.5 Scored27%33%20%36%60%17%
Over 2.5 Scored18%17%20%27%40%17%
Failed To Score18%17%20%45%20%67%

Goals Conceded

USD CasateseHomeAwayCremaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%83%40%73%100%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded45%67%20%45%60%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%17%20%27%40%17%
Clean Sheets36%17%60%27%0%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

USD CasateseCrema
Over 0.591%82%
Over 1.564%82%
Over 2.564%64%
Over 3.527%36%
Over 4.59%18%
BTTS55%45%
BTTS & Win27%27%
BTTS & Draw0%9%
BTTS & Over 2.555%36%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%27%

1st Half / 2nd Half

USD CasateseCrema
Win 1st Half9%27%
Draw 1st Half64%36%
Loss 1st Half27%36%
Scored 1st Half27%36%
Conceded 1st Half55%55%
Win 2nd Half55%27%
Draw 2nd Half9%55%
Loss 2nd Half36%18%
Scored 2nd Half64%45%
Conceded 2nd Half55%45%
Over 0.5 HT55%73%
Over 1.5 HT36%45%

Recent Venue Form

USD Casatese (H)
WPro Sesto1–0
LPro Patria1–2
LPistoiese0–3
WVaresina4–2
LSant'Angelo1–2
WArconatese2–1
Crema (A)
WOltrepò3–0
DLentigione1–1
DCoriano0–0
LCastellanzese0–4
LPro Patria0–2
DPavia0–0

Head to Head · 6 matches

4
USD Casatese
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Crema
17%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
17%
Over 2.5
1/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
0%
BTTS
0/6
29/01/25
Crema
0–2
USD Casatese
02/10/24
USD Casatese
2–0
Crema
05/05/24
USD Casatese
0–1
Crema
20/12/23
Crema
0–3
USD Casatese
06/03/22
Crema
0–0
USD Casatese
24/10/21
USD Casatese
2–0
Crema
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese10901+1927
2Lentigione10631+721
3Pro Patria10622+720
4Castellanzese10613+919
5USD Casatese10514016
6Pro Sesto10433+1015
7Pavia10352+414
8Cittadella Vis Modena10424+214
9Solbiatese10352+114
10Sant'Angelo10424014
11Città di Varese10343+413
12Correggese10334-512
13Crema10334-612
14Varesina10253-111
15Pontedera10217-157
16Coriano10136-66
17Arconatese10136-146
18Oltrepò10127-165

Team Insights

USD Casatese
  • ●USD Casatese have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●USD Casatese have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●USD Casatese have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●USD Casatese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●USD Casatese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●USD Casatese have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●USD Casatese have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●71% of USD Casatese's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Crema
  • ●Crema have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Crema have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Crema failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Crema have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Crema failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Crema have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Crema's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Crema have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
WACastellanzese4º1–0
WHPro Sesto6º1–0
LAPavia7º1–3
LHPro Patria3º1–2
LHPistoiese1º0–3
WHVaresina14º4–2
WACorreggese12º3–1
LHSant'Angelo10º1–2
DASolbiatese9º0–0
WAOltrepò18º3–0
DALentigione2º1–1
WHPontedera15º4–1
DACoriano16º0–0
WHCittà di Varese11º3–2
LACastellanzese4º0–4
LHPro Sesto6º0–3
LAPro Patria3º0–2
LHPistoiese1º1–3

Season Schedule

USD Casatese
WACastellanzese1–0
WHPro Sesto1–0
LAPavia1–3
LHPro Patria1–2
WACittadella Vis Modena1–0
LHPistoiese0–3
–HCittà di Varese15/11
–ACoriano22/11
–HPontedera29/11
Crema
WAOltrepò3–0
WHCittadella Vis Modena2–1
DALentigione1–1
WHPontedera4–1
DACoriano0–0
WHCittà di Varese3–2
–AArconatese15/11
–HSolbiatese22/11
–AVaresina29/11

Top Scorers

USD Casatese
G. Citterio4 ⚽
M. Isella3 ⚽
L. Corno2 ⚽
M. Gningue1 ⚽
R. M. Meleddu1 ⚽
D. Alessandro1 ⚽
Crema
G. Recino6 ⚽
M. Lucchini2 ⚽
D. Braidich1 ⚽
M. Peli1 ⚽
1 ⚽
M. Longhi1 ⚽