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Varesina vs Arconatese — Serie D - Girone D

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Italy · Serie D - Girone D · Group D - 16
Varesina
Varesina
14º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Arconatese
Arconatese
17º · 0.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Varesina and Arconatese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Varesina have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Arconatese have won 9% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Varesina and 1.00 for Arconatese. The models give Varesina a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Arconatese win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Varesina
—
Arconatese
14º
Position
17º
1.10
PPG
0.60
20%
Win %
10%
1.30
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
2.40
73%
BTTS %
73%
18%
Clean sheet %
0%
55%
Over 2.5 %
64%

Home vs Away

Varesina
Home (5)
—
Arconatese
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.20
Goals / game
0.80
0.80
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
40%
Over 2.5 %
67%

Goals Scored

VaresinaHomeAwayArconateseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%40%100%73%80%67%
Over 1.5 Scored36%40%33%18%20%17%
Over 2.5 Scored18%40%0%9%20%0%
Failed To Score27%60%0%27%20%33%

Goals Conceded

VaresinaHomeAwayArconateseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%60%100%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded45%20%67%55%60%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%0%17%36%60%17%
Clean Sheets18%40%0%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

VaresinaArconatese
Over 0.582%100%
Over 1.573%91%
Over 2.555%64%
Over 3.536%27%
Over 4.518%27%
BTTS73%73%
BTTS & Win18%9%
BTTS & Draw27%27%
BTTS & Over 2.555%45%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

VaresinaArconatese
Win 1st Half9%27%
Draw 1st Half64%27%
Loss 1st Half27%45%
Scored 1st Half64%45%
Conceded 1st Half64%73%
Win 2nd Half9%27%
Draw 2nd Half73%9%
Loss 2nd Half18%64%
Scored 2nd Half45%45%
Conceded 2nd Half45%64%
Over 0.5 HT73%91%
Over 1.5 HT55%55%

Recent Venue Form

Varesina (H)
WCittà di Varese3–1
DPro Sesto0–0
DPro Patria0–0
LPistoiese0–1
WCittadella Vis Modena3–2
DBreno2–2
Arconatese (A)
LLentigione1–2
WCoriano2–1
LCastellanzese0–1
DPavia1–1
LPistoiese0–5
LUSD Casatese1–2

Head to Head · 7 matches

4
Varesina
57%
0
Draws
0%
3
Arconatese
43%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
11/01/25
Varesina
1–2
Arconatese
15/09/24
Arconatese
0–1
Varesina
24/02/24
Varesina
2–1
Arconatese
15/11/23
Varesina
1–0
Arconatese
22/10/23
Arconatese
3–2
Varesina
29/01/23
Arconatese
0–1
Varesina
24/09/22
Varesina
1–2
Arconatese
Serie D - Girone D
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese10901+1927
2Lentigione10631+721
3Pro Patria10622+720
4Castellanzese10613+919
5USD Casatese10514016
6Pro Sesto10433+1015
7Pavia10352+414
8Cittadella Vis Modena10424+214
9Solbiatese10352+114
10Sant'Angelo10424014
11Città di Varese10343+413
12Correggese10334-512
13Crema10334-612
14Varesina10253-111
15Pontedera10217-157
16Coriano10136-66
17Arconatese10136-146
18Oltrepò10127-165

Team Insights

Varesina
  • ●Varesina have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Varesina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Varesina have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Varesina failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Varesina have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●75% of Varesina's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Varesina have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Arconatese
  • ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Arconatese have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Arconatese failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Arconatese have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Arconatese's points have been earned away.
  • ●Arconatese have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
VaresinaVaresina
LACoriano16º1–2
WHCittà di Varese11º3–1
DACastellanzese4º1–1
DHPro Sesto6º0–0
DAPavia7º2–2
DHPro Patria3º0–0
LAUSD Casatese5º2–4
LHPistoiese1º0–1
LACorreggese12º1–2
DASant'Angelo10º1–1
ArconateseArconatese
LALentigione2º1–2
LHPontedera15º3–4
WACoriano16º2–1
LHCittà di Varese11º1–5
LACastellanzese4º0–1
DHPro Sesto6º1–1
DAPavia7º1–1
LHPro Patria3º0–3
LAPistoiese1º0–5
DHCorreggese12º1–1

Season Schedule

Varesina
LACoriano1–2
WHCittà di Varese3–1
DACastellanzese1–1
DHPro Sesto0–0
DAPavia2–2
DHPro Patria0–0
–HPontedera15/11
–ALentigione22/11
–HCrema29/11
Arconatese
LALentigione1–2
LHPontedera3–4
WACoriano2–1
LHCittà di Varese1–5
LACastellanzese0–1
DHPro Sesto1–1
–HCrema15/11
–AOltrepò22/11
–HCittadella Vis Modena29/11

Top Scorers

Varesina
S. Banfi5 ⚽
A. Maspero3 ⚽
T. Tentoni2 ⚽
M. Opoola1 ⚽
M. Grassi1 ⚽
C. Bianchetti1 ⚽
Arconatese
A. Guerrisi3 ⚽
A. Infrano2 ⚽
A. Mancosu1 ⚽
F. Alberton1 ⚽
F. Belloli1 ⚽
A. Bernardi1 ⚽

Cards Given

Varesina
Arconatese
G. Constant1 🟨