Grassina vs Lucchese — Serie D - Girone E
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Grassina and Lucchese meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 4 October 2026. Grassina have recorded 0 wins from 5 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Lucchese have won 60% of their 5 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Grassina and 1.02 for Lucchese. The models give Grassina a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lucchese win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Grassina
LuccheseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Grassina | Home | Away | Lucchese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 50% | 0% | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 60% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 100% |
Goals Conceded
| Grassina | Home | Away | Lucchese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grassina | Lucchese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 60% |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grassina | Lucchese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Grassina (H)
Scandicci2–3
Flaminia0–1Flaminia2–0Scandicci1–0
Guidonia Montecelio 19372–1
Albalonga1–0Lucchese (A)
Rondinella0–0
Seravezza0–5
Sestri Levante1–2
Arezzo1–4
Pontedera1–4
Legnago Salus1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gavorrano | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 |  Prato | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Flaminia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Robur Siena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Terranuova Traiana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  Mezzolara | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Ternana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Progresso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Grassina | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Rondinella | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Grassina- ●Grassina have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
Lucchese- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lucchese have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●100% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Lucchese's points have been earned at home.
- ●Lucchese have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GrassinaMezzolara0–0Scandicci2–3Prato1–1Flaminia0–1Gavorrano0–2Lucchese04/10Tau Altopascio11/10Progresso18/10LuccheseRobur Siena3–2Rondinella0–0Progresso5–0Seravezza0–5Montevarchi Calcio2–1Grassina04/10Ternana11/10Sasso Marconi Zola18/10Top Scorers
GrassinaLucchese