Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Montevarchi Calcio — Serie D - Girone E
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Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano and Montevarchi Calcio meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have recorded 0 wins from 5 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Montevarchi Calcio have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano and 1.15 for Montevarchi Calcio. The models give Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Montevarchi Calcio win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi CalcioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ghivizzano Borgo | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 0% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Ghivizzano Borgo | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ghivizzano Borgo | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ghivizzano Borgo | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Ghivizzano Borgo (H)
Mezzolara1–1
Terranuova Traiana1–3
Grosseto0–3
Seravezza1–0
Foligno Calcio0–0
Prato0–3Montevarchi Calcio (A)
Robur Siena0–3Seravezza1–1
Lucchese1–2Prato0–1Robur Siena0–0
Sansepolcro0–0Head to Head · 7 matches
Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi CalcioMontevarchi CalcioGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoMontevarchi CalcioGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Prato | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Flaminia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Gavorrano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Lucchese | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Seravezza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 4 |
| 8 | Robur Siena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 | Montevarchi Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Scandicci | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 11 | Terranuova Traiana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Progresso | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 |  Ternana | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 |  Rondinella | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Team Insights
Ghivizzano Borgo- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have lost their last 2 away matches.
Montevarchi Calcio—
Season Schedule
Ghivizzano BorgoMezzolara1–1Gavorrano0–1Terranuova Traiana1–3Flaminia0–2Prato27/09Tau Altopascio04/10Scandicci11/10Montevarchi CalcioRobur Siena0–3Seravezza1–1Tau Altopascio4–1Lucchese1–2Progresso27/09Ternana04/10Rondinella11/10Top Scorers
Ghivizzano BorgoMontevarchi Calcio