San Donato Tavarnelle vs Montevarchi Calcio — Serie D - Girone E
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San Donato Tavarnelle and Montevarchi Calcio meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 1 November 2026. San Donato Tavarnelle have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Montevarchi Calcio have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for San Donato Tavarnelle and 0.99 for Montevarchi Calcio. The models give San Donato Tavarnelle a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Montevarchi Calcio win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
San Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| San Donato | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| San Donato | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 80% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Donato | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Donato | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
San Donato (H)
Gavorrano0–2
Seravezza2–1
Robur Siena1–1Seravezza1–1
Foligno Calcio1–0
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0Montevarchi Calcio (A)Robur Siena0–3Seravezza1–1
Lucchese1–2
Prato0–1Robur Siena0–0
Sansepolcro0–0Head to Head · 10 matches
Montevarchi CalcioSan Donato TavarnelleSan Donato TavarnelleSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioSan Donato Tavarnelle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavorrano | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Prato | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Flaminia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Scandicci | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Robur Siena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Terranuova Traiana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  Mezzolara | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Ternana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Progresso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 |  Rondinella | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
San Donato- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
Montevarchi Calcio- ●Montevarchi Calcio have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Montevarchi Calcio's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of Montevarchi Calcio's points have been earned at home.
- ●Montevarchi Calcio have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
San DonatoFlaminia1–2Gavorrano0–2Terranuova Traiana1–1Sasso Marconi Zola3–1Seravezza2–1Mezzolara04/10Prato11/10Tau Altopascio18/10Montevarchi CalcioProgresso2–0Robur Siena0–3Seravezza1–1Tau Altopascio4–1Lucchese1–2Ternana04/10Rondinella11/10Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano18/10Top Scorers
San DonatoMontevarchi CalcioCards Given
San DonatoMontevarchi Calcio