Lucchese vs San Donato Tavarnelle — Serie D - Girone E
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Lucchese and San Donato Tavarnelle meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Lucchese have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. San Donato Tavarnelle have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.95 for Lucchese and 1.19 for San Donato Tavarnelle. The models give Lucchese a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an San Donato Tavarnelle win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
LuccheseSan Donato TavarnelleHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lucchese | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 100% | 25% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Lucchese | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lucchese | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 0% |
| BTTS | 63% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lucchese | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Lucchese (H)
Ternana2–2
Robur Siena3–2
Progresso5–0
Montevarchi Calcio2–1
Sestri Levante1–0
Torres3–2San Donato (A)
Prato0–2
Flaminia1–2
Terranuova Traiana1–1
Sasso Marconi Zola3–1
Sangiovannese1–0
Grosseto2–1Head to Head · 2 matches
San Donato TavarnelleLucchese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Seravezza | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Scandicci | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Ternana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Mezzolara | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rondinella | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Montevarchi Calcio | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 2 |
Team Insights
Lucchese- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Lucchese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lucchese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Lucchese have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
San Donato- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of San Donato Tavarnelle's goals have been scored away.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LuccheseTernana2–2Grassina6–3Robur Siena3–2Rondinella0–0Progresso5–0Seravezza0–5Sasso Marconi Zola18/10Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano25/10Terranuova Traiana01/11San DonatoPrato0–2Mezzolara1–1Flaminia1–2Gavorrano0–2Terranuova Traiana1–1Sasso Marconi Zola3–1Tau Altopascio18/10Scandicci25/10Montevarchi Calcio01/11Top Scorers
LuccheseSan Donato