Progresso vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano — Serie D - Girone E
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Progresso and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Progresso have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.57 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Progresso and 1.17 for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The models give Progresso a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
ProgressoGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Progresso | Home | Away | Ghivizzano Borgo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 33% | 50% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 67% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresso | Home | Away | Ghivizzano Borgo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 33% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresso | Ghivizzano Borgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS | 43% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresso | Ghivizzano Borgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 71% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 71% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Progresso (H)
Robur Siena0–1
Seravezza0–3
Scandicci2–1
Sasso Marconi Zola4–1
Correggese1–1
Pro Palazzolo1–2Ghivizzano Borgo (A)Scandicci3–3
Prato1–2
Gavorrano0–1
Flaminia0–2
Livorno1–1
Montevarchi Calcio0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanoProgresso| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 |  Lucchese | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Seravezza | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Ternana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Terranuova Traiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Mezzolara | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rondinella | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Montevarchi Calcio | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 2 |
Team Insights
Progresso- ●Progresso have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Progresso have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●69% of Progresso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Ghivizzano Borgo- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
Season Schedule
ProgressoRobur Siena0–1Rondinella1–2Montevarchi Calcio0–2Seravezza0–3Lucchese0–5Scandicci2–1Grassina18/10Ternana25/10Sasso Marconi Zola01/11Ghivizzano BorgoScandicci3–3Tau Altopascio0–1Prato1–2Mezzolara1–1Gavorrano0–1Terranuova Traiana1–3Montevarchi Calcio18/10Lucchese25/10Robur Siena01/11Top Scorers
ProgressoGhivizzano BorgoCards Given
ProgressoGhivizzano Borgo