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Gavorrano vs Lucchese — Serie D - Girone E

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Italy · Serie D - Girone E · Group E - 12
Gavorrano
Gavorrano
2º · 2.14 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Lucchese
Lucchese
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Gavorrano and Lucchese meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Gavorrano have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 14%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Lucchese have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 2.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Gavorrano and 1.16 for Lucchese. The models give Gavorrano a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lucchese win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Gavorrano
—
Lucchese
2º
Position
3º
2.14
PPG
2.00
57%
Win %
57%
1.43
Goals / game
2.57
0.57
Conceded / game
1.86
57%
BTTS %
63%
43%
Clean sheet %
25%
14%
Over 2.5 %
75%

Home vs Away

Gavorrano
Home (4)
—
Lucchese
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
1.33
75%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
0.50
Conceded / game
2.67
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%

Goals Scored

GavorranoHomeAwayLuccheseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored100%100%100%75%100%50%
Over 1.5 Scored43%50%33%63%100%25%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%38%50%25%
Failed To Score0%0%0%25%0%50%

Goals Conceded

GavorranoHomeAwayLuccheseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded57%50%67%75%75%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded0%0%0%50%50%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%25%0%50%
Clean Sheets43%50%33%25%25%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

GavorranoLucchese
Over 0.5100%88%
Over 1.586%88%
Over 2.514%75%
Over 3.50%63%
Over 4.50%50%
BTTS57%63%
BTTS & Win14%38%
BTTS & Draw43%25%
BTTS & Over 2.514%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

GavorranoLucchese
Win 1st Half29%25%
Draw 1st Half57%25%
Loss 1st Half14%50%
Scored 1st Half43%38%
Conceded 1st Half29%50%
Win 2nd Half57%50%
Draw 2nd Half43%25%
Loss 2nd Half0%25%
Scored 2nd Half86%75%
Conceded 2nd Half29%50%
Over 0.5 HT57%75%
Over 1.5 HT14%63%

Recent Venue Form

Gavorrano (H)
DTerranuova Traiana1–1
WSasso Marconi Zola2–1
WGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0
WGrassina2–0
WCamaiore3–2
LTau Altopascio1–2
Lucchese (A)
DSeravezza1–1
WGrassina6–3
DRondinella0–0
LSeravezza0–5
LSestri Levante1–2
LArezzo1–4

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Gavorrano
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Lucchese
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
10/03/18
Lucchese
0–0
Gavorrano
22/10/17
Gavorrano
1–0
Lucchese
Serie D - Girone E
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Prato7520+717
2Gavorrano7430+615
3Lucchese7421+514
4Seravezza7412+1013
5Robur Siena7412+613
6Tau Altopascio7412-213
7Scandicci7331+512
8Flaminia7322-111
9Ternana7232+49
10Terranuova Traiana7232+29
11San Donato Tavarnelle7223-28
12Mezzolara7151-28
13Rondinella7223-48
14Montevarchi Calcio7214-37
15Sasso Marconi Zola7124-55
16Grassina7034-73
17Progresso7106-123
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano7025-72

Team Insights

Gavorrano
  • ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Lucchese
  • ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Lucchese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lucchese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●67% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Lucchese have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
GavorranoGavorrano
DHTerranuova Traiana10º1–1
DAFlaminia8º1–1
WHSasso Marconi Zola15º2–1
WASan Donato Tavarnelle11º2–0
WHGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano18º1–0
DATernana9º1–1
WHGrassina16º2–0
WHCamaiore15º3–2
LHTau Altopascio3º1–2
WAScandicci8º3–1
LuccheseLucchese
DHTernana9º2–2
DASeravezza1–1
WAGrassina16º6–3
WHRobur Siena5º3–2
DARondinella13º0–0
WHProgresso17º5–0
LASeravezza4º0–5
WHMontevarchi Calcio14º2–1
WHSestri Levante1–0
LASestri Levante1–2

Season Schedule

Gavorrano
DHTerranuova Traiana1–1
DAFlaminia1–1
WHSasso Marconi Zola2–1
WASan Donato Tavarnelle2–0
WHGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0
DATernana1–1
–HPrato18/10
–ASeravezza25/10
–HScandicci01/11
Lucchese
DHTernana2–2
WAGrassina6–3
WHRobur Siena3–2
DARondinella0–0
WHProgresso5–0
LASeravezza0–5
–ASasso Marconi Zola18/10
–HGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano25/10
–ATerranuova Traiana01/11

Top Scorers

Gavorrano
A. Pino4 ⚽
C. Mutton1 ⚽
E. Biancon1 ⚽
F. Presta1 ⚽
F. Vari1 ⚽
T. Pellegrini1 ⚽
Lucchese
6 ⚽
F. Dionisi5 ⚽
D. Sirbu4 ⚽
D. Lorusso3 ⚽
L. Lombardi2 ⚽
A. Cadili1 ⚽