Lucchese vs Flaminia — Serie D - Girone E
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Lucchese and Flaminia meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Lucchese have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Flaminia have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Lucchese and 1.10 for Flaminia. The models give Lucchese a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Flaminia win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Lucchese
FlaminiaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lucchese | Home | Away | Flaminia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 40% | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 100% | 20% | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 60% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lucchese | Home | Away | Flaminia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 40% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lucchese | Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 20% |
| BTTS | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lucchese | Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Lucchese (H)
Ternana2–2
Robur Siena3–2
Progresso5–0
Montevarchi Calcio2–1
Sestri Levante1–0
Torres3–2Flaminia (A)
Seravezza0–1
Terranuova Traiana1–5
Grassina1–0
Lazio0–6
Monastir3–3
Montespaccato4–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Lucchese- ●Lucchese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Lucchese's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Lucchese have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Flaminia- ●Flaminia have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Flaminia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Flaminia have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flaminia have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flaminia have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Flaminia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●80% of Flaminia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Flaminia's points have been earned at home.
- ●Flaminia have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LuccheseSasso Marconi Zola0–2Ternana2–2Grassina6–3Robur Siena3–2Rondinella0–0Progresso5–0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano25/10Terranuova Traiana01/11San Donato Tavarnelle08/11FlaminiaMezzolara1–1Seravezza0–1Gavorrano1–1San Donato Tavarnelle2–1Terranuova Traiana1–5Sasso Marconi Zola2–2Prato25/10Tau Altopascio01/11Scandicci08/11Top Scorers
LuccheseFlaminia