Progresso vs San Donato Tavarnelle — Serie D - Girone E
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Progresso and San Donato Tavarnelle meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Progresso have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. San Donato Tavarnelle have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Progresso and 1.22 for San Donato Tavarnelle. The models give Progresso a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an San Donato Tavarnelle win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
ProgressoSan Donato TavarnelleHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Progresso | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 40% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 33% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 63% | 67% | 60% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresso | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 33% | 80% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresso | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresso | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 71% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 71% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Progresso (H)
Robur Siena0–1
Seravezza0–3
Scandicci2–1
Sasso Marconi Zola4–1
Correggese1–1
Pro Palazzolo1–2San Donato (A)
Prato0–2
Flaminia1–2
Terranuova Traiana1–1Sasso Marconi Zola3–1
Sangiovannese1–0
Grosseto2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Progresso- ●Progresso have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Progresso's goals conceded were conceded away.
San Donato- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ProgressoGrassina0–1Robur Siena0–1Rondinella1–2Montevarchi Calcio0–2Seravezza0–3Lucchese0–5Ternana25/10Sasso Marconi Zola01/11Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano08/11San DonatoTau Altopascio1–0Prato0–2Mezzolara1–1Flaminia1–2Gavorrano0–2Terranuova Traiana1–1Scandicci25/10Montevarchi Calcio01/11Lucchese08/11Top Scorers
ProgressoSan DonatoCards Given
ProgressoSan Donato