Gavorrano vs Progresso — Serie D - Girone E
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Gavorrano and Progresso meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Gavorrano have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 11%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Progresso have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.44 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Gavorrano and 0.78 for Progresso. The models give Gavorrano a 60% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Progresso win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Gavorrano
ProgressoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gavorrano | Home | Away | Progresso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Gavorrano | Home | Away | Progresso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gavorrano | Progresso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 11% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 56% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gavorrano | Progresso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 78% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 89% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Gavorrano (H)
Prato1–1
Terranuova Traiana1–1
Sasso Marconi Zola2–1
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0
Grassina2–0
Camaiore3–2Progresso (A)Grassina0–1
Rondinella1–2
Montevarchi Calcio0–2
Lucchese0–5
Tau Altopascio1–2
Sant'Angelo1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 19 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Robur Siena | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 | Tau Altopascio | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Seravezza | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Ternana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Scandicci | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 | Lucchese | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Flaminia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Progresso | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Gavorrano- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Gavorrano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Progresso- ●Progresso have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Progresso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
GavorranoSeravezza1–1Prato1–1Terranuova Traiana1–1Flaminia1–1Sasso Marconi Zola2–1San Donato Tavarnelle2–0Scandicci01/11Mezzolara08/11Lucchese15/11ProgressoTernana0–1Grassina0–1Robur Siena0–1Rondinella1–2Montevarchi Calcio0–2Seravezza0–3Sasso Marconi Zola01/11Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano08/11Terranuova Traiana15/11Top Scorers
GavorranoProgressoCards Given
GavorranoProgresso