Gravina vs Nocerina — Serie D - Girone H
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Gravina and Nocerina meet in the Serie D - Girone H 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Gravina have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Nocerina have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Gravina and 1.24 for Nocerina. The models give Gravina a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Nocerina win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Gravina
NocerinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gravina | Home | Away | Nocerina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 100% | 40% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 100% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 67% | 20% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 0% | 60% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Gravina | Home | Away | Nocerina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 80% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 67% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gravina | Nocerina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 63% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gravina | Nocerina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 75% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 88% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 75% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Gravina (H)
Virtus Francavilla4–2
Real Forio 20142–2
Gladiator3–1
Real Normanna3–2
Paganese1–0
Martina Franca0–0Nocerina (A)
Melfi1–0
Bisceglie1–3
Manfredonia2–2
Monastir0–1
Atletico Lodigiani0–0
Sarrabus Ogliastra0–0Head to Head · 7 matches
NocerinaGravinaGravinaNocerinaNocerinaGravinaNocerina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 2 | Martina Franca | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Turris | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Gravina | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |  Brindisi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Manfredonia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Real Normanna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Gladiator | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Ebolitana | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Forio 2014 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  USD Palmese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Fidelis Andria | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Ischia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Francavilla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Nardò | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Melfi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Gravina- ●Gravina have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●69% of Gravina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Gravina have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Nocerina- ●67% of Nocerina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Nocerina have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GravinaNardò1–1Virtus Francavilla4–2Real Normanna0–1Real Forio 20142–2Turris0–0Gladiator3–1Francavilla18/10Ebolitana25/10Nocerina01/11NocerinaBrindisi0–1Melfi1–0USD Palmese3–0Bisceglie1–3Ischia3–2Manfredonia2–2Martina Franca18/10Gladiator25/10Gravina01/11Top Scorers
GravinaNocerina