Nocerina vs Virtus Francavilla — Serie D - Girone H
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Nocerina and Virtus Francavilla meet in the Serie D - Girone H 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Nocerina have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Virtus Francavilla have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Nocerina and 1.18 for Virtus Francavilla. The models give Nocerina a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Virtus Francavilla win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
NocerinaVirtus FrancavillaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nocerina | Home | Away | Virtus Francavilla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 60% | 25% | 78% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Nocerina | Home | Away | Virtus Francavilla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 20% | 75% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nocerina | Virtus Francavilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 56% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nocerina | Virtus Francavilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Nocerina (H)
Brindisi0–1
Turris1–1
USD Palmese3–0
Ischia3–2
Ebolitana2–1Ischia0–1Virtus Francavilla (A)
Fidelis Andria1–2
Gravina2–4
Martina Franca2–1
Melfi1–0
Pompei1–4
Afragolese2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
NocerinaVirtus Francavilla| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martina Franca | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 | Turris | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Bisceglie | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Brindisi | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Real Normanna | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | USD Palmese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fidelis Andria | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Gladiator | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Ebolitana | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |  Real Forio 2014 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Melfi | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Ischia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Nocerina- ●67% of Nocerina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Nocerina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Virtus Francavilla- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of Virtus Francavilla's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NocerinaMartina Franca0–2Brindisi0–1Melfi1–0USD Palmese3–0Bisceglie1–3Ischia3–2Gladiator25/10Gravina01/11Real Forio 201408/11Virtus FrancavillaFidelis Andria1–2Real Forio 20142–0Gravina2–4Gladiator2–1Martina Franca2–1Brindisi2–1Manfredonia25/10Turris01/11Francavilla08/11Top Scorers
NocerinaVirtus Francavilla