Gravina vs Melfi — Serie D - Girone H
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Gravina and Melfi meet in the Serie D - Girone H 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Gravina have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Melfi have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 13%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Gravina and 0.82 for Melfi. The models give Gravina a 62% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Melfi win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Gravina
MelfiHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gravina | Home | Away | Melfi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 40% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 75% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 60% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
Goals Conceded
| Gravina | Home | Away | Melfi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 80% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gravina | Melfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 22% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gravina | Melfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Gravina (H)
Francavilla1–1
Virtus Francavilla4–2
Real Forio 20142–2
Gladiator3–1
Real Normanna3–2
Paganese1–0Melfi (A)
Ischia0–3
Ebolitana0–1
Nardò0–0Real Normanna0–2
Foggia0–1
Messina4–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Martina Franca | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 |  Turris | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Bisceglie | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Brindisi | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 |  Nocerina | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Normanna | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Fidelis Andria | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Gladiator | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Ebolitana | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Real Forio 2014 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Melfi | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Ischia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Nardò | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Gravina- ●Gravina have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gravina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gravina have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gravina have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●71% of Gravina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Gravina's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Gravina have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Melfi- ●Melfi have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Melfi failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●87% of Melfi's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
GravinaFrancavilla1–1Nardò1–1Virtus Francavilla4–2Real Normanna0–1Real Forio 20142–2Turris0–0Ebolitana25/10Nocerina01/11Ischia08/11MelfiUSD Palmese2–2Bisceglie1–0Ischia0–3Nocerina0–1Ebolitana0–1Francavilla2–1Manfredonia01/11Brindisi08/11Martina Franca15/11Top Scorers
GravinaMelfi