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Fossombrone vs Teramo — Serie D - Girone F

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Fossombrone
Fossombrone
10º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
vs
–
–
Teramo
Teramo
2º · 2.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
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Fossombrone and Teramo meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Fossombrone have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Teramo have won 75% of their 8 matches, with 2.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Fossombrone and 1.90 for Teramo. The models give Fossombrone a 19% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Teramo win at 57%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Fossombrone
—
Teramo
10º
Position
2º
1.43
PPG
2.29
43%
Win %
71%
1.00
Goals / game
2.71
1.57
Conceded / game
1.57
44%
BTTS %
63%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
75%

Home vs Away

Fossombrone
Home (3)
—
Teramo
Away (4)
0.00
PPG
2.25
0%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
3.33
Conceded / game
0.75
67%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
40%
100%
Over 2.5 %
60%

Goals Scored

FossombroneHomeAwayTeramoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%67%67%88%100%80%
Over 1.5 Scored22%33%17%88%100%80%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%63%67%60%
Failed To Score33%33%33%13%0%20%

Goals Conceded

FossombroneHomeAwayTeramoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%100%50%75%100%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded44%100%17%63%100%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%67%17%25%33%20%
Clean Sheets33%0%50%25%0%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

FossombroneTeramo
Over 0.589%100%
Over 1.567%100%
Over 2.556%75%
Over 3.522%63%
Over 4.511%38%
BTTS44%63%
BTTS & Win11%50%
BTTS & Draw11%13%
BTTS & Over 2.533%63%
BTTS No & Over 2.522%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

FossombroneTeramo
Win 1st Half11%88%
Draw 1st Half56%0%
Loss 1st Half33%13%
Scored 1st Half22%88%
Conceded 1st Half44%38%
Win 2nd Half33%25%
Draw 2nd Half22%38%
Loss 2nd Half44%38%
Scored 2nd Half56%75%
Conceded 2nd Half56%75%
Over 0.5 HT56%100%
Over 1.5 HT11%50%

Recent Venue Form

Fossombrone (H)
LTermoli Calcio1–2
LLanciano FC2–4
LL'Aquila0–4
WCastelfidardo Calcio3–1
LAncona1–2
WL'Aquila1–0
Teramo (A)
WSporting Trestina2–0
WUnipomezia4–3
LL'Aquila0–2
WAngelana3–1
WMaceratese3–0
DAtletico Ascoli1–1

Head to Head · 5 matches

1
Fossombrone
20%
1
Draws
20%
3
Teramo
60%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
15/02/26
Teramo
2–1
Fossombrone
12/10/25
Fossombrone
0–1
Teramo
18/05/25
Teramo
1–1
Fossombrone
05/01/25
Teramo
1–0
Fossombrone
08/09/24
Fossombrone
4–1
Teramo
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1L'Aquila7520+1117
2Teramo7511+816
3Foligno Calcio7511+316
4Ancona7421+514
5Vigor Senigallia7412+313
6Notaresco7322+111
7Lanciano FC7313+310
8Termoli Calcio7313010
9Atletico Ascoli7313-110
10Fossombrone7313-410
11Santegidiese7223-28
12Montecchio Gallo7223-28
13Real Giulianova7214-17
14Maceratese7214-47
15Recanatese7133-26
16Pietralunga7124-65
17Angelana7115-54
18Sporting Trestina7115-74

Team Insights

Fossombrone
  • ●Fossombrone have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Fossombrone have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Fossombrone have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●91% of Fossombrone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●100% of Fossombrone's points have been earned away.
Teramo
  • ●Teramo have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Teramo have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●73% of Teramo's goals conceded were conceded at home.
LHTermoli Calcio8º1–2
DAAncona1–1
WAAtletico Ascoli9º1–0
LHLanciano FC7º2–4
LHL'Aquila1º0–4
WAReal Giulianova13º2–1
LACesena0–3
LARecanatese15º0–2
WAUnipomezia4–3
LAL'Aquila1º0–2
WHReal Giulianova13º3–2
WAAngelana17º3–1
DHNotaresco6º2–2
WAMaceratese14º3–0
WHNotaresco5º3–1
WHAtletico Ascoli4º2–1

Season Schedule

Fossombrone
LHTermoli Calcio1–2
WAAtletico Ascoli1–0
DAVigor Senigallia0–0
LHLanciano FC2–4
WASporting Trestina1–0
LHL'Aquila0–4
–AAncona18/10
–HTeramo25/10
–APietralunga01/11
Teramo
WASporting Trestina2–0
WHVigor Senigallia6–4
LAL'Aquila0–2
WHReal Giulianova3–2
WAAngelana3–1
DHNotaresco2–2
–HTermoli Calcio18/10
–AFossombrone25/10
–HLanciano FC01/11

Top Scorers

Fossombrone
C. Giometti4 ⚽
3 ⚽
D. Ferreira2 ⚽
G. Ghinelli1 ⚽
N. Belloni1 ⚽
Teramo
F. Pavone7 ⚽
N. Toure4 ⚽
M. Njambe3 ⚽
G. Carpani2 ⚽
M. Marconato1 ⚽
M. Pietrantonio1 ⚽

Cards Given

Fossombrone
1 🟨
Teramo