Foligno Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia — Serie D - Girone F
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Foligno Calcio and Vigor Senigallia meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Foligno Calcio have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Vigor Senigallia have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Foligno Calcio and 1.42 for Vigor Senigallia. The models give Foligno Calcio a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Vigor Senigallia win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Foligno CalcioVigor SenigalliaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Foligno Calcio | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 50% | 0% | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Foligno Calcio | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 100% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Foligno Calcio | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 60% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Foligno Calcio | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Foligno Calcio (H)
Notaresco1–0
Lanciano FC2–1
Cannara1–0
Prato0–2
Sansepolcro2–0
Gavorrano2–0Vigor Senigallia (A)
Termoli Calcio2–1Lanciano FC2–1
Sporting Trestina5–2
Unipomezia3–3
Castelfidardo Calcio3–1
Recanatese1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vigor Senigallia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 |  L'Aquila | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Teramo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  Ancona | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Santegidiese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Montecchio Gallo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Lanciano FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atletico Ascoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fossombrone | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Recanatese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Notaresco | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Real Giulianova | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Maceratese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Angelana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Termoli Calcio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Pietralunga | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Foligno Calcio- ●Foligno Calcio have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Foligno Calcio have won their last 2 home matches.
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●90% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Foligno CalcioMontecchio Gallo1–1Notaresco1–0Recanatese1–4Pietralunga1–0Lanciano FC2–1Angelana04/10Maceratese11/10Real Giulianova18/10Vigor SenigalliaFossombrone0–0Termoli Calcio2–1Lanciano FC2–1Real Giulianova1–0Sporting Trestina5–2Teramo04/10Atletico Ascoli11/10Santegidiese18/10Top Scorers
Foligno CalcioVigor Senigallia