Notaresco vs L'Aquila — Serie D - Girone F
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Notaresco and L'Aquila meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Notaresco have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. L'Aquila have won 75% of their 8 matches, with 2.38 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 63%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Notaresco and 1.54 for L'Aquila. The models give Notaresco a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an L'Aquila win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Notaresco
L'AquilaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Notaresco | Home | Away | L'Aquila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 67% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 75% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 33% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Notaresco | Home | Away | L'Aquila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 33% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Notaresco | L'Aquila | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 57% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Notaresco | L'Aquila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 75% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 88% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Notaresco (H)
Recanatese2–1
Pietralunga1–1
Santegidiese1–0
Ancona1–2
Victor San Marino1–2
Ostia Mare1–2L'Aquila (A)Pietralunga3–0Ancona2–2
Fossombrone4–0
Termoli Calcio1–1Ostia Mare1–2
Sammaurese0–0Head to Head · 8 matches
NotarescoL'AquilaL'AquilaNotarescoNotarescoNotarescoL'AquilaNotaresco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Lanciano FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Atletico Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Montecchio Gallo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Real Giulianova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pietralunga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Notaresco- ●Notaresco have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Notaresco have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Notaresco have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●63% of Notaresco's goals have been scored at home.
L'Aquila- ●L'Aquila have won their last 3 matches.
- ●L'Aquila have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●L'Aquila have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●L'Aquila have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●L'Aquila have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of L'Aquila's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
NotarescoRecanatese2–1Montecchio Gallo1–0Pietralunga1–1Foligno Calcio0–1Santegidiese1–0Teramo2–2Maceratese18/10Lanciano FC25/10L'Aquila01/11L'AquilaSantegidiese2–1Pietralunga3–0Teramo2–0Ancona2–2Atletico Ascoli0–0Fossombrone4–0Recanatese18/10Foligno Calcio25/10Notaresco01/11Top Scorers
NotarescoL'Aquila