Fossombrone vs Santegidiese — Serie D - Girone F
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Fossombrone and Santegidiese meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Fossombrone have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Santegidiese have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Fossombrone and 1.56 for Santegidiese. The models give Fossombrone a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Santegidiese win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
FossombroneSantegidieseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Santegidiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Santegidiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 100% | 50% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 100% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 67% | 17% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 0% | 50% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fossombrone | Santegidiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 44% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fossombrone | Santegidiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Fossombrone (H)
Termoli Calcio1–2
Lanciano FC2–4
L'Aquila0–4
Castelfidardo Calcio3–1
Ancona1–2L'Aquila1–0Santegidiese (A)L'Aquila1–2
Maceratese1–1
Notaresco0–1
Montecchio Gallo2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 | Lanciano FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Atletico Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Montecchio Gallo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Real Giulianova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Pietralunga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Fossombrone- ●Fossombrone have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●91% of Fossombrone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Fossombrone's points have been earned away.
Santegidiese- ●Santegidiese have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Santegidiese have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FossombroneTermoli Calcio1–2Atletico Ascoli1–0Vigor Senigallia0–0Lanciano FC2–4Sporting Trestina1–0L'Aquila0–4Ancona18/10Teramo25/10Pietralunga01/11SantegidieseL'Aquila1–2Real Giulianova1–3Maceratese1–1Angelana1–0Notaresco0–1Recanatese1–1Vigor Senigallia18/10Sporting Trestina25/10Termoli Calcio01/11Top Scorers
FossombroneSantegidieseCards Given
FossombroneSantegidiese