Montecchio Gallo vs Vigor Senigallia — Serie D - Girone F
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Montecchio Gallo and Vigor Senigallia meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Montecchio Gallo have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Vigor Senigallia have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Montecchio Gallo and 1.76 for Vigor Senigallia. The models give Montecchio Gallo a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Vigor Senigallia win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Montecchio GalloVigor SenigalliaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Montecchio Gallo | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 67% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 57% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Montecchio Gallo | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 33% | 71% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 0% | 67% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Montecchio Gallo | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 57% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Montecchio Gallo | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 43% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Montecchio Gallo (H)
Notaresco0–1
Foligno Calcio1–1
Pietralunga2–1
Santegidiese1–2Vigor Senigallia (A)
Teramo4–6
Termoli Calcio2–1
Lanciano FC2–1
Sporting Trestina5–2
Unipomezia3–3
Castelfidardo Calcio3–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 | Teramo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 | Lanciano FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Atletico Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Montecchio Gallo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Real Giulianova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pietralunga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Montecchio Gallo- ●Montecchio Gallo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●87% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Vigor Senigallia's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●69% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Montecchio GalloLanciano FC1–3Notaresco0–1Foligno Calcio1–1Recanatese0–0Pietralunga2–1Ancona1–0Angelana18/10Maceratese25/10Real Giulianova01/11Vigor SenigalliaAtletico Ascoli1–2Teramo4–6Fossombrone0–0Termoli Calcio2–1Lanciano FC2–1Real Giulianova1–0Santegidiese18/10Ancona25/10Foligno Calcio01/11Top Scorers
Montecchio GalloVigor Senigallia