Recanatese vs Fossombrone — Serie D - Girone F
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Recanatese and Fossombrone meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Recanatese have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Fossombrone have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Recanatese and 1.13 for Fossombrone. The models give Recanatese a 35% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Fossombrone win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
RecanateseFossombroneHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Recanatese | Home | Away | Fossombrone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Recanatese | Home | Away | Fossombrone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 25% | 67% | 44% | 100% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Recanatese | Fossombrone | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 11% |
| BTTS | 71% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Recanatese | Fossombrone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Recanatese (H)
Maceratese2–3
Montecchio Gallo0–0
Foligno Calcio4–1
Pietralunga0–0
Victor San Marino4–1Fossombrone2–0Fossombrone (A)
Ancona1–1
Atletico Ascoli1–0
Vigor Senigallia0–0
Sporting Trestina1–0
Real Giulianova2–1
Cesena0–3Head to Head · 4 matches
FossombroneRecanateseRecanateseFossombrone| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Lanciano FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Montecchio Gallo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Real Giulianova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pietralunga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Recanatese- ●Recanatese have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Recanatese have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Recanatese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Recanatese have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Recanatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Recanatese's points have been earned at home.
- ●Recanatese have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Fossombrone- ●Fossombrone have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●91% of Fossombrone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Fossombrone's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
RecanateseNotaresco1–2Maceratese2–3Lanciano FC1–4Montecchio Gallo0–0Foligno Calcio4–1Santegidiese1–1L'Aquila18/10Angelana25/10Sporting Trestina01/11FossombroneTermoli Calcio1–2Atletico Ascoli1–0Vigor Senigallia0–0Lanciano FC2–4Sporting Trestina1–0L'Aquila0–4Ancona18/10Teramo25/10Pietralunga01/11Top Scorers
RecanateseFossombroneCards Given
RecanateseFossombrone