Fossombrone vs Foligno Calcio — Serie D - Girone F
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Fossombrone and Foligno Calcio meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Fossombrone have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Foligno Calcio have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Fossombrone and 1.63 for Foligno Calcio. The models give Fossombrone a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Foligno Calcio win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
FossombroneFoligno CalcioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Foligno Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 71% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 33% | 29% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Foligno Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 100% | 57% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 100% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 67% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fossombrone | Foligno Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fossombrone | Foligno Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Fossombrone (H)
Termoli Calcio1–2
Lanciano FC2–4
L'Aquila0–4
Castelfidardo Calcio3–1
Ancona1–2L'Aquila1–0Foligno Calcio (A)
Maceratese2–0
Montecchio Gallo1–1
Recanatese1–4
Pietralunga1–0
Seravezza0–0
San Donato Tavarnelle0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Fossombrone- ●Fossombrone have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Fossombrone's goals have been scored away.
- ●77% of Fossombrone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Fossombrone's points have been earned away.
Foligno Calcio- ●Foligno Calcio have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
FossombroneAncona3–2Termoli Calcio1–2Atletico Ascoli1–0Vigor Senigallia0–0Lanciano FC2–4Sporting Trestina1–0Teramo25/10Pietralunga01/11Santegidiese08/11Foligno CalcioReal Giulianova0–1Maceratese2–0Angelana1–0Montecchio Gallo1–1Notaresco1–0Recanatese1–4L'Aquila25/10Vigor Senigallia01/11Sporting Trestina08/11Top Scorers
FossombroneFoligno CalcioCards Given
FossombroneFoligno Calcio