Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese — Serie D - Girone F
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Vigor Senigallia and Recanatese meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Vigor Senigallia have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Recanatese have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Vigor Senigallia and 1.12 for Recanatese. The models give Vigor Senigallia a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Recanatese win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Vigor SenigalliaRecanateseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | Recanatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 67% | 100% | 75% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 0% | 100% | 38% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | Recanatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 33% | 100% | 75% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 67% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vigor Senigallia | Recanatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 50% |
| BTTS | 71% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vigor Senigallia | Recanatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Vigor Senigallia (H)
Atletico Ascoli1–2
Fossombrone0–0
Real Giulianova1–0
Chieti2–3Atletico Ascoli2–2
Ancona0–1Recanatese (A)
Notaresco1–2
Lanciano FC1–4
Santegidiese1–1
Teramo2–2
Maceratese1–2Chieti1–2Head to Head · 4 matches
Vigor SenigalliaRecanateseVigor SenigalliaRecanatese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●87% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Vigor Senigallia's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●69% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Recanatese- ●Recanatese have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Recanatese have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Recanatese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Recanatese have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●73% of Recanatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Recanatese's points have been earned at home.
- ●Recanatese have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vigor SenigalliaAtletico Ascoli1–2Teramo4–6Fossombrone0–0Termoli Calcio2–1Lanciano FC2–1Real Giulianova1–0Santegidiese18/10Ancona25/10Foligno Calcio01/11RecanateseL'Aquila2–3Notaresco1–2Maceratese2–3Lanciano FC1–4Montecchio Gallo0–0Foligno Calcio4–1Angelana25/10Sporting Trestina01/11Real Giulianova08/11Top Scorers
Vigor SenigalliaRecanateseCards Given
Vigor SenigalliaRecanatese