Italy · Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 15

Ancona

3º · 2.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

–

Santegidiese

16º · 0.90 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

Stadio del Conero·Ancona·Italy·23,983

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Ancona and Santegidiese meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Ancona have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Santegidiese have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Ancona and 1.13 for Santegidiese. The models give Ancona a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Santegidiese win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Ancona

—

Santegidiese

3º

Position

16º

2.00

PPG

0.90

60%

Win %

20%

1.80

Goals / game

0.80

Conceded / game

1.30

50%

BTTS %

60%

42%

Clean sheet %

20%

42%

Over 2.5 %

40%

Home vs Away

Ancona

Home (5)

—

Santegidiese

Away (5)

1.40

PPG

0.80

40%

Win %

20%

1.40

Goals / game

1.00

1.20

Conceded / game

1.40

50%

BTTS %

80%

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

Over 2.5 %

60%

Goals Scored

	Ancona	Home	Away	Santegidiese	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	92%	83%	100%	70%	60%	80%
Over 1.5 Scored	58%	50%	67%	10%	0%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	8%	0%	17%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	8%	17%	0%	30%	40%	20%

Goals Conceded

	Ancona	Home	Away	Santegidiese	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	58%	67%	50%	80%	60%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	25%	33%	17%	40%	40%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	8%	17%	0%	10%	20%	0%
Clean Sheets	42%	33%	50%	20%	40%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Ancona	Santegidiese
Over 0.5	100%	90%
Over 1.5	75%	70%
Over 2.5	42%	40%
Over 3.5	33%	10%
Over 4.5	17%	0%
BTTS	50%	60%
BTTS & Win	8%	10%
BTTS & Draw	33%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	33%	40%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	8%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Ancona	Santegidiese
Win 1st Half	42%	10%
Draw 1st Half	42%	40%
Loss 1st Half	17%	50%
Scored 1st Half	58%	10%
Conceded 1st Half	25%	50%
Win 2nd Half	42%	40%
Draw 2nd Half	42%	40%
Loss 2nd Half	17%	20%
Scored 2nd Half	75%	60%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	40%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	60%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	30%

Recent Venue Form

Ancona (H)

Atletico Ascoli1–0

Fossombrone2–3

Fossombrone1–1

Sporting Trestina2–0

L'Aquila2–2

Montecchio Gallo0–1

Santegidiese (A)

Sporting Trestina1–2

L'Aquila1–2

Maceratese1–1

Notaresco0–1

Montecchio Gallo2–1

Serie D - Girone F

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Teramo	10	8	1	1	+13	25
2	L'Aquila	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	Ancona	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Foligno Calcio	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Notaresco	10	4	4	2	+4	16
6	Vigor Senigallia	10	5	1	4	-2	16
7	Montecchio Gallo	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Atletico Ascoli	10	4	2	4	+2	14
9	Fossombrone	10	4	2	4	-5	14
10	Real Giulianova	10	4	1	5	-2	13
11	Termoli Calcio	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Lanciano FC	10	3	2	5	-3	11
13	Maceratese	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Sporting Trestina	10	3	1	6	-7	10
15	Recanatese	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Santegidiese	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Pietralunga	10	2	3	5	-5	9
18	Angelana	10	1	1	8	-11	4

Team Insights

Ancona

●Ancona have won their last 2 matches.
●Ancona have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
●Ancona have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
●Ancona have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Ancona have won their last 2 away matches.
●Ancona have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
●Ancona have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Ancona have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
●Ancona have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
●Ancona have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●75% of Ancona's goals conceded were conceded at home.
●65% of Ancona's points have been earned away.
●Ancona have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.

Santegidiese

●Santegidiese have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
●Santegidiese have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Santegidiese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Santegidiese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●62% of Santegidiese's goals have been scored away.
●Santegidiese have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.

Ancona

WHAtletico Ascoli8º1–0

DARobur Siena2–2

WAVigor Senigallia6º5–0

LHFossombrone9º2–3

WAReal Giulianova10º2–0

DHFossombrone1–1

WHSporting Trestina14º2–0

DAAngelana18º1–1

DHL'Aquila2º2–2

WAMaceratese13º1–0

Santegidiese