Fossombrone vs Montecchio Gallo — Serie D - Girone F
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Fossombrone and Montecchio Gallo meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Fossombrone have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Montecchio Gallo have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Fossombrone and 1.57 for Montecchio Gallo. The models give Fossombrone a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Montecchio Gallo win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
FossombroneMontecchio GalloHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Montecchio Gallo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 63% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 25% | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 38% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Montecchio Gallo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 100% | 50% | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 100% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 75% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 0% | 50% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fossombrone | Montecchio Gallo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fossombrone | Montecchio Gallo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Fossombrone (H)
Teramo2–4
Termoli Calcio1–2
Lanciano FC2–4
L'Aquila0–4
Castelfidardo Calcio3–1
Ancona1–2Montecchio Gallo (A)
Maceratese1–1Lanciano FC1–3
Recanatese0–0Ancona1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teramo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Ancona | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Lanciano FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sporting Trestina | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Santegidiese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Pietralunga | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Angelana | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Fossombrone- ●Fossombrone have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●82% of Fossombrone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Fossombrone's points have been earned away.
Montecchio Gallo- ●Montecchio Gallo have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Montecchio Gallo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Montecchio Gallo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●77% of Montecchio Gallo's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FossombronePietralunga0–0Teramo2–4Ancona3–2Termoli Calcio1–2Atletico Ascoli1–0Vigor Senigallia0–0Santegidiese08/11Recanatese15/11Foligno Calcio22/11Montecchio GalloReal Giulianova3–0Maceratese1–1Angelana3–1Lanciano FC1–3Notaresco0–1Foligno Calcio1–1L'Aquila08/11Vigor Senigallia15/11Sporting Trestina22/11Top Scorers
FossombroneMontecchio GalloCards Given
FossombroneMontecchio Gallo