Vigor Senigallia vs Notaresco — Serie D - Girone F
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Vigor Senigallia and Notaresco meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Vigor Senigallia have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Notaresco have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Vigor Senigallia and 1.26 for Notaresco. The models give Vigor Senigallia a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Notaresco win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Vigor Senigallia—
Notaresco6º
Position
5º
1.60
PPG
1.60
50%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.30
2.00
Conceded / game
0.90
60%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
40%
70%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Vigor Senigallia
Home (4)
—
Notaresco
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.25
25%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
0.75
1.75
Conceded / game
0.75
25%
BTTS %
25%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | Notaresco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 50% | 100% | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 0% | 83% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 50% | 0% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | Notaresco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 50% | 83% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 10% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vigor Senigallia | Notaresco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Vigor Senigallia (H)L
Ancona0–5
Ancona0–5L
Atletico Ascoli1–2
Atletico Ascoli1–2D
Fossombrone0–0
Fossombrone0–0W
Real Giulianova1–0
Real Giulianova1–0L
Chieti2–3
Chieti2–3DAtletico Ascoli2–2
Atletico Ascoli2–2Notaresco (A)D
Lanciano FC0–0
Lanciano FC0–0W
Montecchio Gallo1–0
Montecchio Gallo1–0L
Foligno Calcio0–1
Foligno Calcio0–1D
Teramo2–2
Teramo2–2LTeramo1–3
Teramo1–3WAncona3–1
Ancona3–1Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Vigor Senigallia
13%
7
Draws
88%
0
Notaresco
0%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
15/02/26Vigor Senigallia
Notaresco
1–1Vigor Senigallia12/10/25Notaresco
Vigor Senigallia
0–0Notaresco17/04/25Vigor Senigallia
Notaresco
2–2Vigor Senigallia08/12/24Notaresco
Vigor Senigallia
2–1Notaresco14/01/24Notaresco
Vigor Senigallia
0–0Notaresco17/09/23Vigor Senigallia
Notaresco
4–4Vigor Senigallia22/01/23Notaresco
Vigor Senigallia
1–1Notaresco18/09/22Vigor Senigallia
Notaresco
2–2Vigor Senigallia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teramo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Ancona | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Termoli Calcio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Lanciano FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 |  Maceratese | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sporting Trestina | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 |  Recanatese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Santegidiese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Pietralunga | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Angelana | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●89% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of Vigor Senigallia's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Notaresco- ●Notaresco have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Notaresco have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Notaresco have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Notaresco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Notaresco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●77% of Notaresco's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Notaresco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Notaresco have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vigor SenigalliaLAFoligno Calcio1–3
Foligno Calcio1–3LHAncona0–5
Ancona0–5WASantegidiese2–0
Santegidiese2–0LHAtletico Ascoli1–2
Atletico Ascoli1–2LATeramo4–6
Teramo4–6DHFossombrone0–0
Fossombrone0–0–HPietralunga08/11
Pietralunga08/11–AMontecchio Gallo15/11
Montecchio Gallo15/11–HRecanatese22/11
Recanatese22/11NotarescoDHL'Aquila0–0
L'Aquila0–0DALanciano FC0–0
Lanciano FC0–0WHMaceratese5–2
Maceratese5–2WHRecanatese2–1
Recanatese2–1WAMontecchio Gallo1–0
Montecchio Gallo1–0DHPietralunga1–1
Pietralunga1–1–AAngelana08/11
Angelana08/11–HSporting Trestina15/11
Sporting Trestina15/11–AReal Giulianova22/11
Real Giulianova22/11Top Scorers
Vigor SenigalliaN. Battista3 ⚽
G. De Feo3 ⚽
A. Tomba2 ⚽
D. Pesaresi2 ⚽
T. Grandis2 ⚽
A. Zonta1 ⚽
Notaresco5 ⚽
S. Infantino3 ⚽
L. Mercuri2 ⚽
E. Di Sabatino1 ⚽
F. Moretti1 ⚽
L. Melloni1 ⚽
Cards Given
Vigor Senigallia1 🟨
Notaresco