L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia — Serie D - Girone F
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L'Aquila and Vigor Senigallia meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 13 December 2026. L'Aquila have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Vigor Senigallia have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for L'Aquila and 1.47 for Vigor Senigallia. The models give L'Aquila a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vigor Senigallia win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
L'Aquila—
Vigor Senigallia2º
Position
6º
2.40
PPG
1.60
70%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
1.80
0.70
Conceded / game
2.00
46%
BTTS %
64%
46%
Clean sheet %
27%
62%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
L'Aquila
Home (5)
—
Vigor Senigallia
Away (6)
2.60
PPG
2.00
80%
Win %
67%
1.60
Goals / game
2.67
0.60
Conceded / game
2.17
57%
BTTS %
83%
43%
Clean sheet %
17%
43%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| L'Aquila | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 86% | 67% | 82% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 57% | 67% | 55% | 20% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 29% | 50% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 14% | 33% | 18% | 40% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| L'Aquila | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 57% | 50% | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 29% | 50% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 43% | 50% | 27% | 40% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| L'Aquila | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 27% |
| BTTS | 46% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| L'Aquila | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 23% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
L'Aquila (H)D
Montecchio Gallo1–1
Montecchio Gallo1–1W
Foligno Calcio3–2
Foligno Calcio3–2W
Santegidiese2–1
Santegidiese2–1W
Termoli Calcio5–2
Termoli Calcio5–2W
Teramo2–0
Teramo2–0D
Atletico Ascoli0–0
Atletico Ascoli0–0Vigor Senigallia (A)LFoligno Calcio1–3
Foligno Calcio1–3WSantegidiese2–0
Santegidiese2–0LTeramo4–6
Teramo4–6WTermoli Calcio2–1
Termoli Calcio2–1W
Lanciano FC2–1
Lanciano FC2–1W
Sporting Trestina5–2
Sporting Trestina5–2Head to Head · 6 matches
2
L'Aquila
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Vigor Senigallia
17%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
15/03/26L'Aquila
Vigor Senigallia
2–2L'Aquila02/11/25Vigor Senigallia
L'Aquila
1–0Vigor Senigallia06/04/25Vigor Senigallia
L'Aquila
1–2Vigor Senigallia24/11/24L'Aquila
Vigor Senigallia
1–1L'Aquila04/02/24Vigor Senigallia
L'Aquila
1–1Vigor Senigallia08/10/23L'Aquila
Vigor Senigallia
0–2L'Aquila| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teramo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |  Ancona | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Lanciano FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 |  Maceratese | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Sporting Trestina | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 |  Recanatese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Santegidiese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Pietralunga | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Angelana | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
L'Aquila- ●L'Aquila have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●L'Aquila have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●L'Aquila have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●L'Aquila have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●L'Aquila have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●L'Aquila have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●L'Aquila have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●63% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
L'AquilaDHMontecchio Gallo1–1
Montecchio Gallo1–1DANotaresco0–0
Notaresco0–0WHFoligno Calcio3–2
Foligno Calcio3–2WARecanatese3–2
Recanatese3–2WHSantegidiese2–1
Santegidiese2–1WAPietralunga3–0
Pietralunga3–0–AAngelana15/11
Angelana15/11–HMaceratese22/11
Maceratese22/11–HReal Giulianova29/11
Real Giulianova29/11Vigor SenigalliaWHPietralunga2–1
Pietralunga2–1LAFoligno Calcio1–3
Foligno Calcio1–3LHAncona0–5
Ancona0–5WASantegidiese2–0
Santegidiese2–0LHAtletico Ascoli1–2
Atletico Ascoli1–2LATeramo4–6
Teramo4–6–AMontecchio Gallo15/11
Montecchio Gallo15/11–HRecanatese22/11
Recanatese22/11–AMaceratese29/11
Maceratese29/11Top Scorers
L'AquilaD. Curatolo6 ⚽
C. Sparacello6 ⚽
M. Gasperoni3 ⚽
F. Magnani1 ⚽
M. Chiarella1 ⚽
A. Bondioli1 ⚽
Vigor SenigalliaG. De Feo4 ⚽
N. Battista3 ⚽
D. Pesaresi3 ⚽
A. Tomba2 ⚽
T. Grandis2 ⚽
A. Zonta1 ⚽
Cards Given
L'AquilaVigor Senigallia1 🟨