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Notaresco vs Atletico Ascoli — Serie D - Girone F

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Italy · Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 16
Notaresco
Notaresco
8º · 1.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Atletico Ascoli
Atletico Ascoli
10º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Notaresco and Atletico Ascoli meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Notaresco have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Atletico Ascoli have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Notaresco and 1.03 for Atletico Ascoli. The models give Notaresco a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atletico Ascoli win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Notaresco
—
Atletico Ascoli
8º
Position
10º
1.45
PPG
1.36
36%
Win %
36%
1.18
Goals / game
1.27
1.00
Conceded / game
1.09
45%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
25%
36%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Notaresco
Home (6)
—
Atletico Ascoli
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
0.83
50%
Win %
17%
1.67
Goals / game
0.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
67%
BTTS %
43%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

NotarescoHomeAwayAtletico AscoliHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%83%40%58%80%43%
Over 1.5 Scored27%33%20%33%40%29%
Over 2.5 Scored9%17%0%8%20%0%
Failed To Score36%17%60%42%20%57%

Goals Conceded

NotarescoHomeAwayAtletico AscoliHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%67%60%75%80%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded36%33%40%17%0%29%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%8%0%14%
Clean Sheets36%33%40%25%20%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

NotarescoAtletico Ascoli
Over 0.582%83%
Over 1.555%58%
Over 2.536%33%
Over 3.518%17%
Over 4.59%17%
BTTS45%50%
BTTS & Win18%25%
BTTS & Draw18%17%
BTTS & Over 2.536%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

NotarescoAtletico Ascoli
Win 1st Half9%42%
Draw 1st Half55%50%
Loss 1st Half36%8%
Scored 1st Half27%50%
Conceded 1st Half55%33%
Win 2nd Half36%8%
Draw 2nd Half45%50%
Loss 2nd Half18%42%
Scored 2nd Half45%25%
Conceded 2nd Half36%58%
Over 0.5 HT64%58%
Over 1.5 HT27%33%

Recent Venue Form

Notaresco (H)
DL'Aquila0–0
WMaceratese5–2
WRecanatese2–1
DPietralunga1–1
WSantegidiese1–0
LAncona1–2
Atletico Ascoli (A)
LAncona0–1
DTermoli Calcio0–0
WVigor Senigallia2–1
LReal Giulianova2–4
DL'Aquila0–0
LAngelana0–2

Head to Head · 6 matches

1
Notaresco
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
Atletico Ascoli
33%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
11/01/26
Atletico Ascoli
0–0
Notaresco
14/09/25
Notaresco
1–1
Atletico Ascoli
02/02/25
Atletico Ascoli
1–2
Notaresco
06/10/24
Notaresco
1–2
Atletico Ascoli
28/04/24
Notaresco
0–1
Atletico Ascoli
17/12/23
Atletico Ascoli
1–1
Notaresco
Serie D - Girone F
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Teramo11821+1326
2L'Aquila11740+1325
3Ancona11632+1021
4Foligno Calcio11623+320
5Vigor Senigallia11614-119
6Fossombrone11524-217
7Montecchio Gallo11443+316
8Notaresco11443+216
9Real Giulianova11515016
10Atletico Ascoli11434+215
11Termoli Calcio11344-113
12Lanciano FC11335-312
13Maceratese11335-412
14Sporting Trestina11326-711
15Recanatese11236-59
16Pietralunga11236-69
17Santegidiese11236-89
18Angelana11218-97

Team Insights

Notaresco
  • ●Notaresco have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Notaresco have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Notaresco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●77% of Notaresco's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Notaresco have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico Ascoli
  • ●Atletico Ascoli have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Atletico Ascoli failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●69% of Atletico Ascoli's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of Atletico Ascoli's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Atletico Ascoli have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
NotarescoNotaresco
LAAngelana18º0–2
DHL'Aquila2º0–0
DALanciano FC12º0–0
WHMaceratese13º5–2
WHRecanatese15º2–1
WAMontecchio Gallo7º1–0
DHPietralunga16º1–1
LAFoligno Calcio4º0–1
WHSantegidiese17º1–0
DATeramo1º2–2
Atletico AscoliAtletico Ascoli
DHTeramo1º1–1
LAAncona3º0–1
DATermoli Calcio11º0–0
WHLanciano FC12º5–1
WAVigor Senigallia5º2–1
LHFossombrone6º0–1
LAReal Giulianova9º2–4
WHSporting Trestina14º1–0
DAL'Aquila2º0–0
WHMaceratese13º2–1

Season Schedule

Notaresco
LAAngelana0–2
DHL'Aquila0–0
DALanciano FC0–0
WHMaceratese5–2
WHRecanatese2–1
WAMontecchio Gallo1–0
–HSporting Trestina15/11
–AReal Giulianova22/11
–HFossombrone29/11
Atletico Ascoli
DHTeramo1–1
LAAncona0–1
DATermoli Calcio0–0
WHLanciano FC5–1
WAVigor Senigallia2–1
LHFossombrone0–1
–APietralunga15/11
–HSantegidiese22/11
–ARecanatese29/11

Top Scorers

Notaresco
5 ⚽
S. Infantino3 ⚽
L. Mercuri2 ⚽
E. Di Sabatino1 ⚽
F. Moretti1 ⚽
L. Melloni1 ⚽
Atletico Ascoli
6 ⚽
L. Guadalupi3 ⚽
F. Coppola1 ⚽
A. Muro1 ⚽
M. Minicucci1 ⚽
F. Maio1 ⚽