Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese — Serie D - Girone G
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Sarrabus Ogliastra and Paganese meet in the Serie D - Girone G 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Sarrabus Ogliastra have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Paganese have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Sarrabus Ogliastra and 1.71 for Paganese. The models give Sarrabus Ogliastra a 31% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Paganese win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Sarrabus OgliastraPaganeseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Home | Away | Paganese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Home | Away | Paganese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 25% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS | 38% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarrabus Ogliastra (H)
Afragolese0–0
Unipomezia2–2
Certosa V. Campagnano0–2
Monastir1–2
Olbia2–2
Budoni0–1Paganese (A)
Sarnese1–2
Trastevere6–1
Latte Dolce3–2
Martina Franca1–0
Città di Fasano2–1Città di Fasano0–6Head to Head · 4 matches
PaganeseSarrabus OgliastraPaganeseSarrabus Ogliastra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 17 |
| 2 | Monastir | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Paganese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 5 | Unipomezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 |  Ossese | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Anzio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Trastevere | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Città di Anagni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Aranova | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Albalonga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Afragolese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Gelbison | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Budoni | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Latte Dolce | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Venafro | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sarrabus Ogliastra- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●75% of Sarrabus Ogliastra's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Sarrabus Ogliastra's points have been earned away.
Paganese- ●Paganese have scored 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sarrabus OgliastraAfragolese0–0Latte Dolce0–1Unipomezia2–2Albalonga1–1Certosa V. Campagnano0–2Anzio1–0Trastevere18/10Gelbison25/10Sarnese01/11PaganeseBudoni3–0Sarnese1–2Gelbison2–3Trastevere6–1Afragolese0–0Latte Dolce3–2Venafro18/10Città di Anagni25/10Ossese01/11Top Scorers
Sarrabus OgliastraPaganese