Paganese vs Aranova — Serie D - Girone G
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Paganese and Aranova meet in the Serie D - Girone G 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Paganese have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Aranova have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Paganese and 1.40 for Aranova. The models give Paganese a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Aranova win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
PaganeseAranovaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Paganese | Home | Away | Aranova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 20% | 40% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Paganese | Home | Away | Aranova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 60% | 100% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 20% | 60% | 44% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paganese | Aranova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 11% |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paganese | Aranova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 89% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Paganese (H)
Budoni3–0
Real Normanna1–1
Gelbison2–3
Afragolese0–0
Unipomezia2–1
Nola 19255–0Aranova (A)Unipomezia4–3
Certosa V. Campagnano1–2
Monastir1–2Budoni2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 | Monastir | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Trastevere | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 15 |
| 5 | Paganese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 | Unipomezia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Ossese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Albalonga | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Aranova | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Anzio | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Afragolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Budoni | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Paganese- ●Paganese have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paganese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Paganese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Paganese's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Paganese have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Aranova- ●Aranova have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Aranova have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Aranova have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Aranova have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aranova have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aranova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Aranova have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Aranova have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●82% of Aranova's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Aranova have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PaganeseCittà di Anagni1–2Venafro0–1Budoni3–0Sarnese1–2Gelbison2–3Trastevere6–1Ossese01/11Sarrabus Ogliastra08/11Atletico Lodigiani15/11AranovaSarnese2–1Unipomezia4–3Trastevere2–0Certosa V. Campagnano1–2Latte Dolce1–1Monastir1–2Afragolese31/10Venafro08/11Gelbison15/11Top Scorers
PaganeseAranova