Ustrem Donchevo vs Septemvri Dragoevo — Third League - Northeast
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Ustrem Donchevo and Septemvri Dragoevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Ustrem Donchevo have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 3.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Septemvri Dragoevo have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.55 for Ustrem Donchevo and 1.60 for Septemvri Dragoevo. The models give Ustrem Donchevo a 53% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Septemvri Dragoevo win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 78% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Ustrem DonchevoSeptemvri DragoevoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 80% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ustrem Donchevo | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 78% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 78% | 50% |
| BTTS | 100% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 89% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ustrem Donchevo | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 88% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 100% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
Recent Venue Form
Ustrem Donchevo (H)
Dorostol4–3
Septemvri Tervel1–1
Volov Shumen2–4
Svetkavitsa 142–3
Olympic Varna3–4
Benkovski Isperih3–2Septemvri Dragoevo (A)Septemvri Tervel0–3Volov Shumen1–4Svetkavitsa 141–1Olympic Varna1–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 2 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 17 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Cherno more II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ustrem Donchevo- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●71% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Septemvri Dragoevo- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Septemvri Dragoevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Septemvri Dragoevo's points have been earned at home.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ustrem DonchevoDorostol4–3Devnya 20051–2Septemvri Tervel1–1Benkovski Isperih2–3Volov Shumen2–4Riltzi1–4Fratria II17/10Septemvri Dragoevo31/10Ludogorets III07/11Septemvri DragoevoDevnya 20050–2Septemvri Tervel0–3Benkovski Isperih1–1Volov Shumen1–4Riltzi4–2Svetkavitsa 141–1Dorostol17/10Botev Novi Pazar21/10Fratria II24/10