Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 13

Ludogorets III

1º · 2.38 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h

–

Ustrem Donchevo

16º · 0.44 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h

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Ludogorets III and Ustrem Donchevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Ludogorets III have recorded 6 wins from 8 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Ustrem Donchevo have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 3.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 89%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 3.04 for Ludogorets III and 1.15 for Ustrem Donchevo. The models give Ludogorets III a 76% win probability, with a draw at 16% and an Ustrem Donchevo win at 8%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 65%.

Season Statistics

Ludogorets III

—

Ustrem Donchevo

1º

Position

16º

2.38

PPG

0.44

75%

Win %

11%

2.63

Goals / game

1.89

0.63

Conceded / game

3.22

50%

BTTS %

100%

38%

Clean sheet %

75%

Over 2.5 %

89%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Ludogorets III

Home (5)

—

Ustrem Donchevo

Away (4)

3.00

PPG

0.00

100%

Win %

3.60

Goals / game

1.25

0.80

Conceded / game

3.50

80%

BTTS %

100%

20%

Clean sheet %

100%

Over 2.5 %

100%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Ludogorets III	Home	Away	Ustrem Donchevo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	75%	100%	33%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	75%	100%	33%	56%	80%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	50%	60%	33%	22%	40%	0%
Failed To Score	25%	0%	67%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Ludogorets III	Home	Away	Ustrem Donchevo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	63%	80%	33%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	89%	80%	100%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	78%	80%	75%
Clean Sheets	38%	20%	67%	0%	0%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Ludogorets III	Ustrem Donchevo
Over 0.5	88%	100%
Over 1.5	75%	100%
Over 2.5	75%	89%
Over 3.5	25%	78%
Over 4.5	25%	78%
BTTS	50%	100%
BTTS & Win	50%	11%
BTTS & Draw	0%	11%
BTTS & Over 2.5	50%	89%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	25%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Ludogorets III	Ustrem Donchevo
Win 1st Half	50%	13%
Draw 1st Half	50%	38%
Loss 1st Half	0%	50%
Scored 1st Half	50%	75%
Conceded 1st Half	13%	75%
Win 2nd Half	63%	0%
Draw 2nd Half	25%	38%
Loss 2nd Half	13%	63%
Scored 2nd Half	63%	63%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	100%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	88%
Over 1.5 HT	38%	75%

Recent Venue Form

Ludogorets III (H)

Septemvri Tervel3–0

Volov Shumen2–1

Olympic Varna5–1

Aksakovo6–1

Cherno more II2–1

Chernolomets 19193–1

Ustrem Donchevo (A)

Devnya 20051–2

Benkovski Isperih2–3

Riltzi1–4

Botev Novi Pazar1–5

Riltzi4–2

Chernolomets 19190–3

Head to Head · 12 matches

Ludogorets III

75%

Draws

17%

Ustrem Donchevo

92%

Over 1.5

11/12

58%

Over 2.5

7/12

50%

Over 3.5

6/12

50%

BTTS

6/12

25/04/26

Ustrem Donchevo

1–3

Ludogorets III

25/10/25

Ludogorets III

8–0

Ustrem Donchevo

31/05/25

Ustrem Donchevo

0–7

Ludogorets III

18/03/25

Ludogorets III

2–0

Ustrem Donchevo

19/05/24

Ustrem Donchevo

0–2

Ludogorets III

09/12/23

Ludogorets III

1–0

Ustrem Donchevo

05/03/23

Ustrem Donchevo

0–6

Ludogorets III

27/08/22

Ludogorets III

6–2

Ustrem Donchevo

06/04/22

Ustrem Donchevo

1–1

Ludogorets III

28/08/21

Ludogorets III

4–1

Ustrem Donchevo

21/03/21

Ludogorets III

1–1

Ustrem Donchevo

13/09/20

Ustrem Donchevo

2–1

Ludogorets III

Third League - Northeast

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ludogorets III	8	6	1	1	+16	19
2	Chernolomets 1919	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Chernomorets Balchik	7	5	2	0	+7	17
4	Volov Shumen	8	5	1	2	+17	16
5	Svetkavitsa 14	9	5	1	3	+3	16
6	Benkovski Isperih	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Cherno more II	8	3	2	3	+4	11
8	Septemvri Tervel	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Devnya 2005	8	3	1	4	-5	10
10	Riltzi	8	3	1	4	-7	10
11	Botev Novi Pazar	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Olympic Varna	8	3	0	5	-5	9
13	Septemvri Dragoevo	8	2	2	4	-7	8
14	Aksakovo	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Fratria II	8	2	1	5	-16	7
16	Ustrem Donchevo	9	1	1	7	-12	4
17	Dorostol	7	0	1	6	-14	1

Team Insights

Ludogorets III

●Ludogorets III have won their last 3 matches.
●Ludogorets III have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Ludogorets III have won their last 5 home matches.
●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Ludogorets III failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
●86% of Ludogorets III's goals have been scored at home.
●79% of Ludogorets III's points have been earned at home.

Ustrem Donchevo

●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have lost their last 4 away matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
●71% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.