Septemvri Dragoevo vs Ludogorets III — Third League - Northeast
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Septemvri Dragoevo and Ludogorets III meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Septemvri Dragoevo have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Ludogorets III have won 75% of their 8 matches, with 2.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Septemvri Dragoevo and 1.50 for Ludogorets III. The models give Septemvri Dragoevo a 34% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Ludogorets III win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 63% | 80% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 0% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 88% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 75% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 17 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -16 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Septemvri Dragoevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Septemvri Dragoevo's points have been earned at home.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●86% of Ludogorets III's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Ludogorets III's points have been earned at home.