Septemvri Tervel vs Olympic Varna — Third League - Northeast
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Septemvri Tervel and Olympic Varna meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Septemvri Tervel have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Olympic Varna have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.62 for Septemvri Tervel and 1.23 for Olympic Varna. The models give Septemvri Tervel a 70% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Olympic Varna win at 12%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | Olympic Varna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 80% | 50% | 78% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 60% | 0% | 44% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 20% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | Olympic Varna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 60% | 100% | 89% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 20% | 50% | 78% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 40% | 0% | 11% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Tervel | Olympic Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 56% |
| BTTS | 57% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Tervel | Olympic Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 14% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 89% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 19 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Septemvri Tervel have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Tervel have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●92% of Septemvri Tervel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Septemvri Tervel's points have been earned at home.
- ●Olympic Varna have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Olympic Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Olympic Varna have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Olympic Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Olympic Varna have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Olympic Varna's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Olympic Varna's goals conceded were conceded away.