Botev Novi Pazar vs Septemvri Tervel — Third League - Northeast
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Botev Novi Pazar and Septemvri Tervel meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Botev Novi Pazar have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Septemvri Tervel have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Botev Novi Pazar and 1.11 for Septemvri Tervel. The models give Botev Novi Pazar a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Septemvri Tervel win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Botev Novi PazarSeptemvri TervelHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Botev Novi | Home | Away | Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Botev Novi | Home | Away | Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Botev Novi | Septemvri Tervel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 11% |
| BTTS | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Botev Novi | Septemvri Tervel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Botev Novi (H)
Svetkavitsa 142–1
Vihren1–4
Chernomorets Balchik0–0
Ludogorets III0–0
Ustrem Donchevo5–1Chernomorets Balchik0–4Septemvri Tervel (A)Chernomorets Balchik0–2
Dorostol1–0Ludogorets III0–3Ustrem Donchevo1–1
Cherno more II2–0
Fratria II4–0Head to Head · 14 matches
Botev Novi PazarSeptemvri TervelSeptemvri TervelBotev Novi PazarSeptemvri TervelBotev Novi PazarSeptemvri TervelSeptemvri TervelBotev Novi PazarSeptemvri TervelBotev Novi PazarBotev Novi PazarSeptemvri TervelBotev Novi Pazar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |  Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Benkovski Isperih | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Cherno more II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 |  Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 |  Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 |  Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 |  Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Fratria II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Botev Novi- ●Botev Novi Pazar have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Botev Novi Pazar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Botev Novi Pazar failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Botev Novi Pazar's goals conceded were conceded away.
Septemvri Tervel- ●Septemvri Tervel have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Tervel have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●85% of Septemvri Tervel's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Botev NoviSvetkavitsa 142–1Septemvri Dragoevo2–0Olympic Varna0–1Cherno more II1–1Chernomorets Balchik0–0Chernolomets 19190–4Riltzi31/10Volov Shumen07/11Benkovski Isperih15/11Septemvri TervelChernomorets Balchik0–2Dorostol1–0Chernolomets 19190–0Ludogorets III0–3Septemvri Dragoevo3–0Ustrem Donchevo1–1Cherno more II31/10Aksakovo07/11Olympic Varna14/11Top Scorers
Botev NoviSeptemvri Tervel