Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 15

Chernomorets Balchik

5º · 2.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 33d 23h

–

Ustrem Donchevo

15º · 0.70 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 23h

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Chernomorets Balchik and Ustrem Donchevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Chernomorets Balchik have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Ustrem Donchevo have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 90%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.49 for Chernomorets Balchik and 1.32 for Ustrem Donchevo. The models give Chernomorets Balchik a 68% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Ustrem Donchevo win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

Chernomorets Balchik

—

Ustrem Donchevo

5º

Position

15º

2.13

PPG

0.70

63%

Win %

20%

1.50

Goals / game

1.90

0.88

Conceded / game

3.00

40%

BTTS %

100%

50%

Clean sheet %

40%

Over 2.5 %

90%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Chernomorets Balchik

Home (3)

—

Ustrem Donchevo

Away (5)

3.00

PPG

0.60

100%

Win %

20%

2.33

Goals / game

1.40

1.33

Conceded / game

3.00

60%

BTTS %

100%

40%

Clean sheet %

60%

Over 2.5 %

100%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Chernomorets Balchik	Home	Away	Ustrem Donchevo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	70%	100%	40%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	40%	60%	20%	60%	80%	40%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	20%	20%	20%	40%	0%
Failed To Score	30%	0%	60%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Chernomorets Balchik	Home	Away	Ustrem Donchevo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	50%	60%	40%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	30%	40%	20%	80%	80%	80%
Over 2.5 Conceded	20%	40%	0%	70%	80%	60%
Clean Sheets	50%	40%	60%	0%	0%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Chernomorets Balchik	Ustrem Donchevo
Over 0.5	80%	100%
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	40%	90%
Over 3.5	30%	70%
Over 4.5	30%	70%
BTTS	40%	100%
BTTS & Win	30%	20%
BTTS & Draw	0%	10%
BTTS & Over 2.5	40%	90%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Chernomorets Balchik	Ustrem Donchevo
Win 1st Half	50%	22%
Draw 1st Half	30%	33%
Loss 1st Half	20%	44%
Scored 1st Half	60%	78%
Conceded 1st Half	20%	67%
Win 2nd Half	20%	0%
Draw 2nd Half	60%	44%
Loss 2nd Half	20%	56%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	67%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	100%
Over 0.5 HT	70%	89%
Over 1.5 HT	30%	67%

Recent Venue Form

Chernomorets Balchik (H)

Volov Shumen2–1

Etar Veliko Tarnovo2–3

Svetkavitsa 141–0

Olympic Varna4–3

Aksakovo3–0

Svetkavitsa 142–0

Ustrem Donchevo (A)

Fratria II2–1

Devnya 20051–2

Benkovski Isperih2–3

Riltzi1–4

Botev Novi Pazar1–5

Riltzi4–2

Head to Head · 10 matches

Chernomorets Balchik

100%

Draws

Ustrem Donchevo

80%

Over 1.5

8/10

80%

Over 2.5

8/10

70%

Over 3.5

7/10

50%

BTTS

5/10

28/02/26

Chernomorets Balchik

4–1

Ustrem Donchevo

23/08/25

Ustrem Donchevo

1–5

Chernomorets Balchik

22/03/25

Chernomorets Balchik

3–0

Ustrem Donchevo

14/09/24

Ustrem Donchevo

0–4

Chernomorets Balchik

03/06/23

Chernomorets Balchik

4–0

Ustrem Donchevo

30/11/22

Chernomorets Balchik

1–0

Ustrem Donchevo

17/04/22

Ustrem Donchevo

1–4

Chernomorets Balchik

10/10/21

Chernomorets Balchik

1–0

Ustrem Donchevo

24/04/21

Chernomorets Balchik

5–1

Ustrem Donchevo

11/10/20

Ustrem Donchevo

1–4

Chernomorets Balchik

Third League - Northeast

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ludogorets III	9	7	1	1	+19	22
2	Volov Shumen	9	6	1	2	+18	19
3	Svetkavitsa 14	10	6	1	3	+6	19
4	Chernolomets 1919	9	5	3	1	+14	18
5	Chernomorets Balchik	8	5	2	1	+5	17
6	Benkovski Isperih	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Septemvri Tervel	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Cherno more II	9	3	2	4	+3	11
9	Septemvri Dragoevo	9	3	2	4	-6	11
10	Riltzi	8	3	1	4	-7	10
11	Devnya 2005	9	3	1	5	-8	10
12	Botev Novi Pazar	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Olympic Varna	9	3	0	6	-8	9
14	Aksakovo	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Ustrem Donchevo	10	2	1	7	-11	7
16	Fratria II	9	2	1	6	-17	7
17	Dorostol	8	0	1	7	-15	1

Team Insights

Chernomorets Balchik

●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 3 home matches.
●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
●Chernomorets Balchik have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.

Ustrem Donchevo

●Ustrem Donchevo have won their last 2 matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●63% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.