Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa 14 — Third League - Northeast
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Septemvri Tervel and Svetkavitsa 14 meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Septemvri Tervel have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Svetkavitsa 14 have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.24 for Septemvri Tervel and 1.18 for Svetkavitsa 14. The models give Septemvri Tervel a 64% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Svetkavitsa 14 win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Septemvri TervelSvetkavitsa 14Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | Svetkavitsa 14 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 80% | 50% | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 60% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 40% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 20% | 50% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | Svetkavitsa 14 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 60% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 20% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 50% | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Tervel | Svetkavitsa 14 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 57% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Tervel | Svetkavitsa 14 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 14% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Septemvri Tervel (H)
Chernolomets 19190–0
Septemvri Dragoevo3–0
Fratria II2–1
Devnya 20055–2
Volov Shumen1–1
Spartak Varna II4–1Svetkavitsa 14 (A)
Aksakovo0–6
Chernomorets Balchik0–1
Ustrem Donchevo3–2
Dorostol4–0Spartak Varna II1–1Chernomorets Balchik0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Septemvri TervelSvetkavitsa 14| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ludogorets III | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 19 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Chernolomets 1919 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Benkovski Isperih | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Cherno more II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 |  Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 |  Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Fratria II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Septemvri Tervel- ●Septemvri Tervel have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Tervel have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●92% of Septemvri Tervel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Septemvri Tervel's points have been earned at home.
Svetkavitsa 14- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●82% of Svetkavitsa 14's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Septemvri TervelChernolomets 19190–0Ludogorets III0–3Septemvri Dragoevo3–0Ustrem Donchevo1–1Fratria II2–1Devnya 20055–2Dorostol21/10Chernomorets Balchik24/10Cherno more II31/10Svetkavitsa 14Olympic Varna3–0Aksakovo0–6Cherno more II1–0Chernomorets Balchik0–1Chernolomets 19190–1Ludogorets III1–0Botev Novi Pazar24/10Riltzi07/11Volov Shumen14/11