Ustrem Donchevo vs Cherno more II — Third League - Northeast
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Ustrem Donchevo and Cherno more II meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Ustrem Donchevo have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 90%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Cherno more II have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.09 for Ustrem Donchevo and 1.68 for Cherno more II. The models give Ustrem Donchevo a 43% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Cherno more II win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Ustrem Donchevo—
Cherno more II15º
Position
8º
0.70
PPG
1.22
20%
Win %
33%
1.90
Goals / game
1.56
3.00
Conceded / game
1.22
100%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
90%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ustrem Donchevo
Home (5)
—
Cherno more II
Away (3)
0.80
PPG
0.00
20%
Win %
0%
2.40
Goals / game
0.67
3.00
Conceded / game
1.67
100%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | Cherno more | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 78% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 80% | 40% | 44% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | Cherno more | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 33% | 17% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ustrem Donchevo | Cherno more | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 70% | 11% |
| BTTS | 100% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 90% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ustrem Donchevo | Cherno more | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 100% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Ustrem Donchevo (H)W
Dorostol4–3
Dorostol4–3D
Septemvri Tervel1–1
Septemvri Tervel1–1L
Volov Shumen2–4
Volov Shumen2–4L
Svetkavitsa 142–3
Svetkavitsa 142–3L
Olympic Varna3–4
Olympic Varna3–4W
Benkovski Isperih3–2
Benkovski Isperih3–2Cherno more (A)LVolov Shumen1–2
Volov Shumen1–2LSvetkavitsa 140–1
Svetkavitsa 140–1L
Ludogorets III1–2
Ludogorets III1–2DSvetkavitsa 140–0
Svetkavitsa 140–0W
Spartak Varna II3–0
Spartak Varna II3–0D
Fratria II1–1
Fratria II1–1Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Ustrem Donchevo
13%
2
Draws
25%
5
Cherno more
63%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
88%
Over 2.5
7/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
88%
BTTS
7/8
08/03/26Cherno more II
Ustrem Donchevo
1–3Cherno more II30/08/25Ustrem Donchevo
Cherno more II
1–2Ustrem Donchevo11/05/25Ustrem Donchevo
Cherno more II
1–1Ustrem Donchevo10/11/24Cherno more II
Ustrem Donchevo
1–4Cherno more II14/04/24Ustrem Donchevo
Cherno more II
2–2Ustrem Donchevo12/08/23Cherno more II
Ustrem Donchevo
1–2Cherno more II19/02/23Cherno more II
Ustrem Donchevo
0–4Cherno more II14/08/22Ustrem Donchevo
Cherno more II
2–1Ustrem Donchevo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 19 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chernomorets Balchik | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Cherno more II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Septemvri Dragoevo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 |  Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 |  Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 |  Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Fratria II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ustrem Donchevo- ●Ustrem Donchevo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Cherno more- ●Cherno more II have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cherno more II have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cherno more II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●86% of Cherno more II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Cherno more II's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Ustrem DonchevoWAFratria II2–1
Fratria II2–1WHDorostol4–3
Dorostol4–3LADevnya 20051–2
Devnya 20051–2DHSeptemvri Tervel1–1
Septemvri Tervel1–1LABenkovski Isperih2–3
Benkovski Isperih2–3LHVolov Shumen2–4
Volov Shumen2–4–HSeptemvri Dragoevo31/10
Septemvri Dragoevo31/10–ALudogorets III07/11
Ludogorets III07/11–HChernolomets 191914/11
Chernolomets 191914/11Cherno moreLAVolov Shumen1–2
Volov Shumen1–2DHRiltzi2–2
Riltzi2–2LASvetkavitsa 140–1
Svetkavitsa 140–1DHBotev Novi Pazar1–1
Botev Novi Pazar1–1WHOlympic Varna2–0
Olympic Varna2–0WHAksakovo3–1
Aksakovo3–1–HBenkovski Isperih24/10
Benkovski Isperih24/10–ASeptemvri Tervel31/10
Septemvri Tervel31/10–HDevnya 200507/11
Devnya 200507/11