Cherno more II vs Septemvri Dragoevo — Third League - Northeast
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Cherno more II and Septemvri Dragoevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Cherno more II have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Septemvri Dragoevo have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Cherno more II and 1.08 for Septemvri Dragoevo. The models give Cherno more II a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Septemvri Dragoevo win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cherno more | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 86% | 67% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 71% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 43% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 14% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Cherno more | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 86% | 100% | 91% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 29% | 67% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 14% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cherno more | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 45% |
| BTTS | 70% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cherno more | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 18 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Cherno more II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Cherno more II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Cherno more II have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cherno more II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●89% of Cherno more II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Cherno more II's points have been earned at home.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●76% of Septemvri Dragoevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.